San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2023-11-26 · FINAL
120 – 132
P(away)
25%
P(home)
75%
λ home / away · confidence
120.5 / 110.1 · 69%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 27.3 → 39
Over/Under 26.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+11.7)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 20.4 → 22
Over/Under 19.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 18.0 → 25
Over/Under 17.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+7)
- Jamal MurrayExp 17.7
Over/Under 16.5: 60% / 40%
- Keldon JohnsonExp 17.4 → 10
Over/Under 16.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-7.4)
- Devin VassellExp 16.3 → 19
Over/Under 15.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+2.7)
- Zach CollinsExp 14.9 → 9
Over/Under 13.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-5.9)
- Aaron GordonExp 14.0
Over/Under 13.5: 54% / 46%
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic39 PTS
- Michael Porter Jr.25 PTS
- Victor Wembanyama22 PTS
- Reggie Jackson20 PTS
- Devin Vassell19 PTS
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 9.3 → 9
Over/Under 8.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Jamal MurrayExp 7.6
Over/Under 6.5: 64% / 36%
- Tre JonesExp 4.3 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 4.2 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-2.2)
- Jeremy SochanExp 4.1 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Reggie JacksonExp 4.1 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Aaron GordonExp 4.0
Over/Under 2.5: 76% / 24%
- Zach CollinsExp 3.6 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic9 AST
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6 AST
- Reggie Jackson6 AST
- Tre Jones6 AST
- Christian Braun4 AST
- Julian Strawther4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Tre JonesExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Aaron GordonExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38%
- Jamal MurrayExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41%
- Victor WembanyamaExp 0.9 → 6
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+5.1)
- Jeremy SochanExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Victor Wembanyama6 STL
- Julian Strawther3 STL
- Devin Vassell1 STL
- Justin Holiday1 STL
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope1 STL
- Malaki Branham1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 0-5
PPG 108.2 · Opp PPG 120
DEN
Record: 1-4
PPG 106.2 · Opp PPG 113.6
Head to head
SAS 4–6 DEN · 10 Meetings
