Tonight

Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs

2023-03-10 · FINAL

120128

P(away)

59%

P(home)

41%

λ home / away · confidence

116.4 / 120.0 · 26%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 26.037

    Over/Under 25.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+11)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 23.224

    Over/Under 22.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+0.8)

  • Keldon JohnsonExp 20.623

    Over/Under 19.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+2.4)

  • Devin VassellExp 18.614

    Over/Under 17.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-4.6)

  • Michael Porter Jr.Exp 18.07

    Over/Under 17.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-11)

  • Aaron GordonExp 15.714

    Over/Under 14.5: 61% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.7)

  • Jeremy SochanExp 15.119

    Over/Under 14.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+3.9)

  • Zach CollinsExp 13.010

    Over/Under 12.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-3)

Boxscore leaders

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 10.011

    Over/Under 8.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 6.67

    Over/Under 5.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+0.4)

  • Tre JonesExp 5.08

    Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+3)

  • Devin VassellExp 3.94

    Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Zach CollinsExp 3.83

    Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (-0.8)

  • Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27%

  • Keldon JohnsonExp 3.56

    Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+2.5)

  • Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1.7)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Over/Under 0.5: 82% / 18% · Actual Over (+2.3)

  • Nikola JokicExp 1.43

    Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+1.6)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 1.33

    Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+1.7)

  • Devin VassellExp 1.20

    Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-1.2)

  • Tre JonesExp 1.13

    Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.9)

  • Zach CollinsExp 0.91

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Keita Bates-DiopExp 0.90

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)

  • Bruce BrownExp 0.92

    Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+1.1)

Recent form (L5)

DEN

Record: 4-1

PPG 118.8 · Opp PPG 112.6

SAS

Record: 2-3

PPG 106.8 · Opp PPG 115

Head to head

DEN 73 SAS · 10 Meetings