Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2022-11-07 · FINAL
115 – 109
P(away)
59%
P(home)
41%
λ home / away · confidence
112.7 / 115.9 · 24%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Keldon JohnsonExp 23.3 → 30
Over/Under 22.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+6.7)
- Nikola JokicExp 21.8 → 26
Over/Under 20.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+4.2)
- Devin VassellExp 20.1 → 17
Over/Under 19.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-3.1)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 16.7 → 24
Over/Under 15.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+7.3)
- Jamal MurrayExp 16.1 → 19
Over/Under 15.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+2.9)
- Aaron GordonExp 14.1 → 9
Over/Under 13.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-5.1)
- Bones HylandExp 13.2 → 14
Over/Under 12.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Jakob PoeltlExp 13.0 → 4
Over/Under 12.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-9)
Boxscore leaders
- Keldon Johnson30 PTS
- Nikola Jokic26 PTS
- Michael Porter Jr.24 PTS
- Josh Richardson22 PTS
- Tre Jones20 PTS
- Jamal Murray19 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 9.1 → 10
Over/Under 8.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Tre JonesExp 6.1 → 9
Over/Under 5.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2.9)
- Bones HylandExp 4.3 → 1
Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-3.3)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 4.2 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-2.2)
- Devin VassellExp 4.1 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jamal MurrayExp 4.0 → 6
Over/Under 2.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+2)
- Bruce BrownExp 3.9 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Josh RichardsonExp 3.4 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic10 AST
- Jakob Poeltl9 AST
- Tre Jones9 AST
- Jamal Murray6 AST
- Aaron Gordon5 AST
- Devin Vassell4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Tre JonesExp 1.3 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeExp 1.3 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Devin VassellExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Bruce BrownExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Jamal MurrayExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Jeremy SochanExp 0.8 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+1.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Aaron Gordon4 STL
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope3 STL
- Tre Jones3 STL
- Bones Hyland2 STL
- Devin Vassell2 STL
- Jakob Poeltl2 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 4-1
PPG 117 · Opp PPG 106.4
SAS
Record: 2-3
PPG 108.6 · Opp PPG 120.8
Head to head
DEN 7–3 SAS · 10 Meetings
