Tonight

Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs

2022-11-07 · FINAL

115109

P(away)

59%

P(home)

41%

λ home / away · confidence

112.7 / 115.9 · 24%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Keldon JohnsonExp 23.330

    Over/Under 22.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+6.7)

  • Nikola JokicExp 21.826

    Over/Under 20.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+4.2)

  • Devin VassellExp 20.117

    Over/Under 19.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-3.1)

  • Michael Porter Jr.Exp 16.724

    Over/Under 15.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+7.3)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 16.119

    Over/Under 15.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+2.9)

  • Aaron GordonExp 14.19

    Over/Under 13.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-5.1)

  • Bones HylandExp 13.214

    Over/Under 12.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.8)

  • Jakob PoeltlExp 13.04

    Over/Under 12.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-9)

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 9.110

    Over/Under 8.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.9)

  • Tre JonesExp 6.19

    Over/Under 5.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2.9)

  • Bones HylandExp 4.31

    Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-3.3)

  • Keldon JohnsonExp 4.22

    Over/Under 3.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-2.2)

  • Devin VassellExp 4.14

    Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 4.06

    Over/Under 2.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+2)

  • Bruce BrownExp 3.93

    Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.9)

  • Josh RichardsonExp 3.43

    Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.4)

Boxscore leaders

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 1.32

    Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+0.7)

  • Tre JonesExp 1.33

    Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+1.7)

  • Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+1.7)

  • Keldon JohnsonExp 0.92

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)

  • Devin VassellExp 0.92

    Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+1.1)

  • Bruce BrownExp 0.91

    Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 0.81

    Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.2)

  • Jeremy SochanExp 0.82

    Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+1.2)

Recent form (L5)

DEN

Record: 4-1

PPG 117 · Opp PPG 106.4

SAS

Record: 2-3

PPG 108.6 · Opp PPG 120.8

Head to head

DEN 73 SAS · 10 Meetings