Tonight

Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat

2023-03-04 · FINAL

109117

P(away)

42%

P(home)

58%

λ home / away · confidence

114.4 / 111.2 · 23%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 26.78

    Over/Under 25.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-18.7)

  • Tyler HerroExp 22.120

    Over/Under 21.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-2.1)

  • Jimmy Butler IIIExp 21.915

    Over/Under 20.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-6.9)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 21.230

    Over/Under 20.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+8.8)

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 20.710

    Over/Under 19.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-10.7)

  • De'Andre HunterExp 14.517

    Over/Under 13.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+2.5)

  • Saddiq BeyExp 12.622

    Over/Under 11.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+9.4)

  • Bogdan BogdanovicExp 12.613

    Over/Under 11.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.4)

Boxscore leaders

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 9.810

    Over/Under 8.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+0.2)

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 5.53

    Over/Under 4.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-2.5)

  • Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.47

    Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1.6)

  • Tyler HerroExp 4.35

    Over/Under 3.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+0.7)

  • Kyle LowryExp 4.1

    Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41%

  • Bam AdebayoExp 3.55

    Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+1.5)

  • Victor OladipoExp 3.16

    Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+2.9)

  • Bogdan BogdanovicExp 2.52

    Over/Under 1.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.5)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 1.55

    Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+3.5)

  • Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.32

    Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+0.7)

  • Kyle LowryExp 1.1

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33%

  • Bam AdebayoExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (0)

  • Caleb MartinExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 1.02

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)

  • Victor OladipoExp 0.90

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)

  • Tyler HerroExp 0.90

    Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)

Recent form (L5)

ATL

Record: 3-2

PPG 122.2 · Opp PPG 119.6

MIA

Record: 1-4

PPG 103.8 · Opp PPG 115.2

Head to head

ATL 37 MIA · 10 Meetings