Tonight

Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat

2023-03-06 · FINAL

128130

P(away)

39%

P(home)

61%

λ home / away · confidence

115.9 / 112.0 · 30%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 26.825

    Over/Under 25.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.8)

  • Tyler HerroExp 22.213

    Over/Under 21.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-9.2)

  • Jimmy Butler IIIExp 21.426

    Over/Under 20.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+4.6)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 20.516

    Over/Under 19.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-4.5)

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 20.423

    Over/Under 19.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+2.6)

  • De'Andre HunterExp 14.314

    Over/Under 13.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.3)

  • Saddiq BeyExp 13.017

    Over/Under 12.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+4)

  • Bogdan BogdanovicExp 13.012

    Over/Under 11.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (-1)

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 9.87

    Over/Under 8.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-2.8)

  • Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.49

    Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+3.6)

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 5.28

    Over/Under 4.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+2.8)

  • Tyler HerroExp 4.33

    Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1.3)

  • Kyle LowryExp 4.1

    Over/Under 3.5: 58% / 42%

  • Bam AdebayoExp 3.65

    Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+1.4)

  • Victor OladipoExp 3.33

    Over/Under 2.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (-0.3)

  • Bogdan BogdanovicExp 2.52

    Over/Under 1.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.5)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 1.51

    Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (-0.5)

  • Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.40

    Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-1.4)

  • Kyle LowryExp 1.1

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33%

  • Bam AdebayoExp 1.13

    Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.9)

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 1.02

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)

  • Caleb MartinExp 0.91

    Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Victor OladipoExp 0.80

    Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-0.8)

  • Tyler HerroExp 0.80

    Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-0.8)

Recent form (L5)

ATL

Record: 3-2

PPG 123.8 · Opp PPG 118.6

MIA

Record: 2-3

PPG 107.4 · Opp PPG 111.4

Head to head

ATL 37 MIA · 10 Meetings