Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2023-03-06 · FINAL
128 – 130
P(away)
39%
P(home)
61%
λ home / away · confidence
115.9 / 112.0 · 30%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 26.8 → 25
Over/Under 25.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Tyler HerroExp 22.2 → 13
Over/Under 21.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-9.2)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 21.4 → 26
Over/Under 20.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+4.6)
- Bam AdebayoExp 20.5 → 16
Over/Under 19.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-4.5)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 20.4 → 23
Over/Under 19.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+2.6)
- De'Andre HunterExp 14.3 → 14
Over/Under 13.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Saddiq BeyExp 13.0 → 17
Over/Under 12.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+4)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 13.0 → 12
Over/Under 11.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (-1)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III26 PTS
- Trae Young25 PTS
- Dejounte Murray23 PTS
- Victor Oladipo22 PTS
- Caleb Martin21 PTS
- John Collins17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.8 → 7
Over/Under 8.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-2.8)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.4 → 9
Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+3.6)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 5.2 → 8
Over/Under 4.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+2.8)
- Tyler HerroExp 4.3 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Kyle LowryExp 4.1
Over/Under 3.5: 58% / 42%
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.6 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+1.4)
- Victor OladipoExp 3.3 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 2.5 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III9 AST
- Dejounte Murray8 AST
- Trae Young7 AST
- Bam Adebayo5 AST
- De'Andre Hunter4 AST
- Saddiq Bey3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 1.5 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.4 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33%
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- Caleb MartinExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Victor OladipoExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- Tyler HerroExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Bam Adebayo3 STL
- Dejounte Murray2 STL
- Bogdan Bogdanovic1 STL
- Caleb Martin1 STL
- De'Andre Hunter1 STL
- Gabe Vincent1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 3-2
PPG 123.8 · Opp PPG 118.6
MIA
Record: 2-3
PPG 107.4 · Opp PPG 111.4
Head to head
ATL 3–7 MIA · 10 Meetings
