San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2022-11-05 · FINAL
101 – 126
P(away)
28%
P(home)
72%
λ home / away · confidence
118.3 / 109.2 · 61%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Keldon JohnsonExp 23.6 → 25
Over/Under 22.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1.4)
- Nikola JokicExp 21.2 → 21
Over/Under 20.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Devin VassellExp 20.3 → 20
Over/Under 19.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 17.1 → 15
Over/Under 16.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-2.1)
- Jamal MurrayExp 16.5 → 13
Over/Under 15.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-3.5)
- Aaron GordonExp 15.0 → 8
Over/Under 13.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-7)
- Tre JonesExp 13.9 → 4
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-9.9)
- Jakob PoeltlExp 12.8 → 14
Over/Under 11.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Keldon Johnson25 PTS
- Bones Hyland24 PTS
- Nikola Jokic21 PTS
- Devin Vassell20 PTS
- Michael Porter Jr.15 PTS
- Jakob Poeltl14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 9.2 → 10
Over/Under 8.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Tre JonesExp 5.7 → 7
Over/Under 4.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Bruce BrownExp 4.3 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 4.1 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Devin VassellExp 4.0 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (0)
- Bones HylandExp 3.8 → 7
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+3.2)
- Jakob PoeltlExp 3.4 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Josh RichardsonExp 3.4 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic10 AST
- Jamal Murray9 AST
- Bones Hyland7 AST
- Tre Jones7 AST
- Devin Vassell4 AST
- Keldon Johnson4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Tre JonesExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeExp 1.2 → 4
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+2.8)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Devin VassellExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Bruce BrownExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Jamal MurrayExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Jakob PoeltlExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope4 STL
- Bones Hyland2 STL
- Keita Bates-Diop2 STL
- Nikola Jokic2 STL
- Bruce Brown1 STL
- Devin Vassell1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 2-3
PPG 112.8 · Opp PPG 122.4
DEN
Record: 3-2
PPG 113.8 · Opp PPG 113.2
Head to head
SAS 3–7 DEN · 10 Meetings
