San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2022-04-05 · FINAL
116 – 97
P(away)
51%
P(home)
49%
λ home / away · confidence
113.6 / 113.7 · 2%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 31.1 → 41
Over/Under 30.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+9.9)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 22.4
Over/Under 21.5: 56% / 44%
- Keldon JohnsonExp 18.6 → 20
Over/Under 17.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+1.4)
- Aaron GordonExp 17.0 → 18
Over/Under 15.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1)
- Will BartonExp 15.7 → 9
Over/Under 14.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-6.7)
- Devin VassellExp 13.5 → 20
Over/Under 12.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+6.5)
- Jakob PoeltlExp 13.4 → 14
Over/Under 12.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Monte MorrisExp 12.2 → 4
Over/Under 11.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-8.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic41 PTS
- Devin Vassell20 PTS
- Keldon Johnson20 PTS
- Aaron Gordon18 PTS
- Josh Richardson18 PTS
- Jakob Poeltl14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 9.2
Over/Under 8.5: 57% / 43%
- Nikola JokicExp 8.2 → 4
Over/Under 7.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-4.2)
- Monte MorrisExp 4.8 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Will BartonExp 4.3 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Tre JonesExp 4.2 → 10
Over/Under 3.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+5.8)
- Bones HylandExp 3.5 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Zach CollinsExp 2.6 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Lonnie Walker IVExp 2.6 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+0.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Tre Jones10 AST
- Will Barton6 AST
- Bones Hyland4 AST
- Devin Vassell4 AST
- Joshua Primo4 AST
- Nikola Jokic4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 1.6 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.4
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24%
- Monte MorrisExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Josh RichardsonExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Will BartonExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Devin VassellExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 0.8
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44%
- Tre JonesExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Josh Richardson2 STL
- Nikola Jokic2 STL
- Aaron Gordon1 STL
- Austin Rivers1 STL
- Devin Vassell1 STL
- Lonnie Walker IV1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 4-1
PPG 116.8 · Opp PPG 107.6
DEN
Record: 4-1
PPG 122 · Opp PPG 117.6
Head to head
SAS 3–7 DEN · 10 Meetings
