Tonight

Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks

2023-01-16 · FINAL

113121

P(away)

47%

P(home)

53%

λ home / away · confidence

114.4 / 113.0 · 10%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 26.124

    Over/Under 25.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-2.1)

  • Tyler HerroExp 22.615

    Over/Under 21.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-7.6)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 22.620

    Over/Under 21.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-2.6)

  • Jimmy Butler IIIExp 21.934

    Over/Under 20.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+12.1)

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 19.528

    Over/Under 18.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+8.5)

  • De'Andre HunterExp 15.715

    Over/Under 14.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (-0.7)

  • Bogdan BogdanovicExp 14.38

    Over/Under 13.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-6.2)

  • Victor OladipoExp 14.27

    Over/Under 13.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-7.2)

Boxscore leaders

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 9.88

    Over/Under 8.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1.8)

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 5.87

    Over/Under 4.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.2)

  • Tyler HerroExp 5.14

    Over/Under 4.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.03

    Over/Under 4.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-2)

  • Kyle LowryExp 4.9

    Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 27%

  • Victor OladipoExp 4.510

    Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+5.5)

  • Gabe VincentExp 3.43

    Over/Under 2.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.4)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 3.05

    Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (+2)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.72

    Over/Under 0.5: 82% / 18% · Actual Over (+0.3)

  • Victor OladipoExp 1.41

    Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (-0.4)

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 1.32

    Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.7)

  • Trae YoungExp 1.14

    Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+2.9)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 1.13

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+1.9)

  • Kyle LowryExp 1.1

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33%

  • Tyler HerroExp 1.10

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Bogdan BogdanovicExp 0.92

    Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+1.1)

Recent form (L5)

MIA

Record: 4-1

PPG 107.2 · Opp PPG 101.2

ATL

Record: 3-2

PPG 111.6 · Opp PPG 113.2

Head to head

MIA 82 ATL · 10 Meetings