Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
2023-01-16 · FINAL
113 – 121
P(away)
47%
P(home)
53%
λ home / away · confidence
114.4 / 113.0 · 10%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 26.1 → 24
Over/Under 25.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-2.1)
- Tyler HerroExp 22.6 → 15
Over/Under 21.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-7.6)
- Bam AdebayoExp 22.6 → 20
Over/Under 21.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-2.6)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 21.9 → 34
Over/Under 20.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+12.1)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 19.5 → 28
Over/Under 18.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+8.5)
- De'Andre HunterExp 15.7 → 15
Over/Under 14.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (-0.7)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 14.3 → 8
Over/Under 13.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-6.2)
- Victor OladipoExp 14.2 → 7
Over/Under 13.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-7.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III34 PTS
- Dejounte Murray28 PTS
- Trae Young24 PTS
- Bam Adebayo20 PTS
- De'Andre Hunter15 PTS
- Tyler Herro15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.8 → 8
Over/Under 8.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 5.8 → 7
Over/Under 4.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- Tyler HerroExp 5.1 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.0 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-2)
- Kyle LowryExp 4.9
Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 27%
- Victor OladipoExp 4.5 → 10
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+5.5)
- Gabe VincentExp 3.4 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.0 → 5
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (+2)
Boxscore leaders
- Victor Oladipo10 AST
- Trae Young8 AST
- Dejounte Murray7 AST
- Bam Adebayo5 AST
- Bogdan Bogdanovic5 AST
- De'Andre Hunter4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.7 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 82% / 18% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Victor OladipoExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Trae YoungExp 1.1 → 4
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+2.9)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33%
- Tyler HerroExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young4 STL
- Bam Adebayo3 STL
- Bogdan Bogdanovic2 STL
- Caleb Martin2 STL
- Dejounte Murray2 STL
- Gabe Vincent2 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIA
Record: 4-1
PPG 107.2 · Opp PPG 101.2
ATL
Record: 3-2
PPG 111.6 · Opp PPG 113.2
Head to head
MIA 8–2 ATL · 10 Meetings
