Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
2022-11-27 · FINAL
106 – 98
P(away)
43%
P(home)
57%
λ home / away · confidence
112.6 / 109.9 · 20%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 29.0 → 22
Over/Under 27.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-7)
- Bam AdebayoExp 22.5 → 32
Over/Under 21.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+9.5)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 21.0 → 13
Over/Under 20.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-8)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 20.1
Over/Under 19.5: 54% / 46%
- Tyler HerroExp 19.7 → 11
Over/Under 18.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-8.7)
- Kyle LowryExp 16.3 → 9
Over/Under 15.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-7.3)
- De'Andre HunterExp 16.3 → 18
Over/Under 15.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Max StrusExp 15.2 → 16
Over/Under 14.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Bam Adebayo32 PTS
- John Collins23 PTS
- Trae Young22 PTS
- Caleb Martin20 PTS
- De'Andre Hunter18 PTS
- Max Strus16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.2 → 14
Over/Under 8.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+4.8)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 6.4 → 2
Over/Under 5.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-4.4)
- Kyle LowryExp 6.2 → 9
Over/Under 5.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+2.8)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 6.1
Over/Under 5.5: 57% / 43%
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.7 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-2.7)
- Tyler HerroExp 3.6 → 10
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+6.4)
- Gabe VincentExp 3.5
Over/Under 2.5: 67% / 33%
- Caleb MartinExp 2.4 → 4
Over/Under 1.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young14 AST
- Tyler Herro10 AST
- Kyle Lowry9 AST
- Caleb Martin4 AST
- De'Andre Hunter2 AST
- Dejounte Murray2 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.6
Over/Under 0.5: 79% / 21%
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Caleb MartinExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Trae YoungExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (0)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- Max StrusExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Bam AdebayoExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- AJ GriffinExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Caleb Martin2 STL
- De'Andre Hunter2 STL
- Kyle Lowry2 STL
- AJ Griffin1 STL
- Dejounte Murray1 STL
- Dewayne Dedmon1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIA
Record: 2-3
PPG 103.4 · Opp PPG 107.4
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 112.8 · Opp PPG 119.2
Head to head
MIA 7–3 ATL · 10 Meetings
