Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2021-12-11 · FINAL
127 – 112
P(away)
48%
P(home)
52%
λ home / away · confidence
107.6 / 106.5 · 6%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 26.1 → 35
Over/Under 25.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+8.9)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 20.4 → 6
Over/Under 19.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-14.4)
- Will BartonExp 17.0
Over/Under 15.5: 63% / 37%
- Derrick WhiteExp 16.0 → 10
Over/Under 14.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-6)
- Aaron GordonExp 14.3 → 16
Over/Under 13.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 13.8 → 14
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Monte MorrisExp 12.8 → 19
Over/Under 11.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+6.2)
- Jakob PoeltlExp 12.4 → 6
Over/Under 11.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-6.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic35 PTS
- Markus Howard21 PTS
- Monte Morris19 PTS
- Aaron Gordon16 PTS
- Bones Hyland16 PTS
- Lonnie Walker IV16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 8.9 → 4
Over/Under 7.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-4.9)
- Nikola JokicExp 8.0 → 8
Over/Under 6.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (0)
- Derrick WhiteExp 5.3 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-2.2)
- Monte MorrisExp 4.4 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Will BartonExp 4.1
Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41%
- Facundo CampazzoExp 3.4 → 8
Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+4.6)
- Tre JonesExp 2.6 → 5
Over/Under 1.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+2.4)
- Lonnie Walker IVExp 2.6 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-2.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Facundo Campazzo8 AST
- Nikola Jokic8 AST
- Tre Jones5 AST
- Aaron Gordon4 AST
- Dejounte Murray4 AST
- Devin Vassell4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Derrick WhiteExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Aaron GordonExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Will BartonExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42%
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 0.8
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44%
- Facundo CampazzoExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Davon ReedExp 0.8 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+1.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Davon Reed2 STL
- Dejounte Murray2 STL
- Aaron Gordon1 STL
- Bones Hyland1 STL
- Derrick White1 STL
- Facundo Campazzo1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 2-3
PPG 108.8 · Opp PPG 110.6
SAS
Record: 3-2
PPG 112.4 · Opp PPG 106
Head to head
DEN 7–3 SAS · 10 Meetings
