Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2021-12-09 · FINAL
111 – 123
P(away)
41%
P(home)
59%
λ home / away · confidence
110.1 / 106.7 · 25%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 26.0 → 22
Over/Under 24.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-4)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 20.5 → 20
Over/Under 19.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Will BartonExp 16.9 → 19
Over/Under 15.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Derrick WhiteExp 15.5 → 23
Over/Under 14.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+7.5)
- Aaron GordonExp 13.6 → 25
Over/Under 12.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+11.4)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 13.6
Over/Under 12.5: 60% / 40%
- Monte MorrisExp 12.7 → 13
Over/Under 11.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Jakob PoeltlExp 12.5 → 9
Over/Under 11.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-3.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Aaron Gordon25 PTS
- Derrick White23 PTS
- Nikola Jokic22 PTS
- Lonnie Walker IV21 PTS
- Dejounte Murray20 PTS
- Will Barton19 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 8.8 → 9
Over/Under 7.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Nikola JokicExp 8.0 → 10
Over/Under 7.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+2)
- Derrick WhiteExp 5.2 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Monte MorrisExp 4.3 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Will BartonExp 4.3 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Facundo CampazzoExp 3.1 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Lonnie Walker IVExp 2.3 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Aaron GordonExp 2.3 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+0.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic10 AST
- Dejounte Murray9 AST
- Jakob Poeltl7 AST
- Monte Morris5 AST
- Tre Jones5 AST
- Derrick White4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.5 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Derrick WhiteExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Aaron GordonExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 0.8
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43%
- Will BartonExp 0.8 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- Davon ReedExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Facundo CampazzoExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Keita Bates-Diop2 STL
- Nikola Jokic2 STL
- Will Barton2 STL
- Bones Hyland1 STL
- Davon Reed1 STL
- Dejounte Murray1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 3-2
PPG 110.6 · Opp PPG 108.2
SAS
Record: 3-2
PPG 111 · Opp PPG 103.6
Head to head
DEN 8–2 SAS · 10 Meetings
