Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2021-03-02 · FINAL
94 – 80
P(away)
43%
P(home)
57%
λ home / away · confidence
111.9 / 109.3 · 18%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 26.6 → 18
Over/Under 25.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-8.6)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 21.8
Over/Under 20.5: 59% / 41%
- Bam AdebayoExp 19.0 → 11
Over/Under 17.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-8)
- Tyler HerroExp 17.4 → 9
Over/Under 16.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-8.4)
- John CollinsExp 16.6 → 17
Over/Under 15.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- De'Andre HunterExp 16.2
Over/Under 15.5: 55% / 45%
- Kendrick NunnExp 16.0 → 6
Over/Under 15.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-10)
- Goran DragicExp 15.6 → 14
Over/Under 14.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young18 PTS
- John Collins17 PTS
- Kevin Huerter16 PTS
- Duncan Robinson14 PTS
- Goran Dragic14 PTS
- Bam Adebayo11 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.6 → 10
Over/Under 8.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 8.4
Over/Under 7.5: 60% / 40%
- Bam AdebayoExp 5.9 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-2.9)
- Goran DragicExp 5.0 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-1)
- Kevin HuerterExp 3.8 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- Tyler HerroExp 3.7 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-2.7)
- Kendrick NunnExp 3.5 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Rajon RondoExp 3.2 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (-0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young10 AST
- Kevin Huerter5 AST
- Bogdan Bogdanovic4 AST
- Goran Dragic4 AST
- Bam Adebayo3 AST
- Rajon Rondo3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.5
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22%
- Kevin HuerterExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Kendrick NunnExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Trae YoungExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- De'Andre HunterExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35%
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Cam ReddishExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37%
- Tyler HerroExp 0.9 → 4
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+3.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Kelly Olynyk4 STL
- Tyler Herro4 STL
- Kendrick Nunn3 STL
- Andre Iguodala2 STL
- Danilo Gallinari1 STL
- Gabe Vincent1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 113.8 · Opp PPG 113.2
MIA
Record: 5-0
PPG 110.6 · Opp PPG 102.2
Head to head
ATL 4–5 MIA · 9 Meetings
