Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2021-02-28 · FINAL
99 – 109
P(away)
36%
P(home)
64%
λ home / away · confidence
114.0 / 108.5 · 40%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 27.2 → 15
Over/Under 26.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-12.2)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 21.9
Over/Under 20.5: 60% / 40%
- Bam AdebayoExp 19.4 → 16
Over/Under 18.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-3.4)
- Tyler HerroExp 17.5 → 14
Over/Under 16.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-3.5)
- De'Andre HunterExp 16.1
Over/Under 15.5: 55% / 45%
- John CollinsExp 15.6 → 34
Over/Under 14.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+18.4)
- Goran DragicExp 15.5 → 13
Over/Under 14.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Kendrick NunnExp 15.3 → 24
Over/Under 14.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+8.7)
Boxscore leaders
- John Collins34 PTS
- Kendrick Nunn24 PTS
- Clint Capela20 PTS
- Bam Adebayo16 PTS
- Trae Young15 PTS
- Precious Achiuwa14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.6 → 9
Over/Under 8.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.6)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 8.5
Over/Under 7.5: 62% / 38%
- Bam AdebayoExp 5.8 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Goran DragicExp 4.7 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Tyler HerroExp 3.9 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Kevin HuerterExp 3.7 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Rajon RondoExp 3.5 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Kendrick NunnExp 3.2 → 7
Over/Under 2.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+3.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young9 AST
- Kendrick Nunn7 AST
- Bam Adebayo5 AST
- Kevin Huerter4 AST
- Tyler Herro4 AST
- Andre Iguodala3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.5
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22%
- Kendrick NunnExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Trae YoungExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- De'Andre HunterExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35%
- Kevin HuerterExp 1.0 → 6
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+5)
- Cam ReddishExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38%
- Tyler HerroExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Kevin Huerter6 STL
- Danilo Gallinari2 STL
- Trae Young2 STL
- Andre Iguodala1 STL
- Clint Capela1 STL
- Duncan Robinson1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 115.8 · Opp PPG 115.6
MIA
Record: 5-0
PPG 112.4 · Opp PPG 104.4
Head to head
ATL 4–4 MIA · 8 Meetings
