Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
2020-02-20 · FINAL
124 – 129
P(away)
56%
P(home)
44%
λ home / away · confidence
118.0 / 119.9 · 15%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 31.2 → 50
Over/Under 30.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+18.8)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 22.1 → 17
Over/Under 21.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-5.1)
- John CollinsExp 20.5 → 12
Over/Under 19.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-8.5)
- Goran DragicExp 17.7 → 19
Over/Under 16.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Bam AdebayoExp 16.7 → 28
Over/Under 15.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+11.3)
- Kendrick NunnExp 15.6 → 14
Over/Under 14.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.6)
- Duncan RobinsonExp 13.6 → 10
Over/Under 12.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-3.6)
- Kevin HuerterExp 13.2 → 17
Over/Under 12.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+3.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young50 PTS
- Bam Adebayo28 PTS
- Goran Dragic19 PTS
- De'Andre Hunter17 PTS
- Jimmy Butler III17 PTS
- Kevin Huerter17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.9 → 8
Over/Under 8.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.5 → 9
Over/Under 4.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+3.5)
- Goran DragicExp 5.5 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Bam AdebayoExp 5.2 → 7
Over/Under 4.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Jeff TeagueExp 5.0 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-1)
- Kevin HuerterExp 3.8 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Kendrick NunnExp 3.4 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Jae CrowderExp 2.3 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III9 AST
- Trae Young8 AST
- Bam Adebayo7 AST
- Jeff Teague4 AST
- Kevin Huerter4 AST
- Goran Dragic3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.5 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.3 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- DeAndre' BembryExp 1.3
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29%
- Trae YoungExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Jae CrowderExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- De'Andre HunterExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (0)
- Jeff TeagueExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Derrick Jones Jr.Exp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Bam Adebayo3 STL
- Cam Reddish2 STL
- Jimmy Butler III2 STL
- John Collins2 STL
- Trae Young2 STL
- Andre Iguodala1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIA
Record: 1-4
PPG 106.2 · Opp PPG 113
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 121 · Opp PPG 125.8
Head to head
MIA 4–3 ATL · 7 Meetings
