Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2019-12-10 · FINAL
121 – 135
P(away)
26%
P(home)
74%
λ home / away · confidence
119.0 / 108.8 · 67%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 30.1 → 21
Over/Under 29.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-9.1)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 22.2 → 20
Over/Under 21.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-2.2)
- Bam AdebayoExp 16.6 → 30
Over/Under 15.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+13.4)
- Goran DragicExp 16.6
Over/Under 15.5: 59% / 41%
- Kendrick NunnExp 15.8 → 36
Over/Under 14.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+20.2)
- John CollinsExp 15.4
Over/Under 14.5: 57% / 43%
- Tyler HerroExp 15.1 → 0
Over/Under 14.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-15.1)
- Jabari ParkerExp 15.1 → 16
Over/Under 14.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Kendrick Nunn36 PTS
- Duncan Robinson34 PTS
- Bam Adebayo30 PTS
- De'Andre Hunter28 PTS
- Trae Young21 PTS
- Jimmy Butler III20 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 8.3 → 9
Over/Under 7.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 7.0 → 10
Over/Under 6.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+3)
- Goran DragicExp 5.4
Over/Under 4.5: 62% / 38%
- Bam AdebayoExp 4.2 → 11
Over/Under 3.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+6.8)
- Justise WinslowExp 4.1
Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41%
- Kendrick NunnExp 3.6 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Kevin HuerterExp 3.0 → 7
Over/Under 2.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+4)
- DeAndre' BembryExp 2.5 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-2.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Bam Adebayo11 AST
- Jimmy Butler III10 AST
- Trae Young9 AST
- Kevin Huerter7 AST
- Duncan Robinson4 AST
- Kendrick Nunn4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.4 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- DeAndre' BembryExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Jabari ParkerExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Trae YoungExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Justise WinslowExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37%
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- Duncan RobinsonExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Goran DragicExp 0.8
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43%
Boxscore leaders
- Alex Len2 STL
- Bam Adebayo2 STL
- Allen Crabbe1 STL
- Derrick Jones Jr.1 STL
- Jabari Parker1 STL
- Kendrick Nunn1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 111.8 · Opp PPG 115.8
MIA
Record: 4-1
PPG 109 · Opp PPG 107.2
Head to head
ATL 3–3 MIA · 6 Meetings
