Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
2019-10-31 · FINAL
106 – 97
P(away)
46%
P(home)
54%
λ home / away · confidence
106.2 / 104.5 · 11%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 24.5
Over/Under 23.5: 57% / 43%
- Kendrick NunnExp 18.8 → 28
Over/Under 17.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+9.2)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 16.3 → 5
Over/Under 15.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-11.3)
- Justise WinslowExp 16.2
Over/Under 15.5: 55% / 45%
- Goran DragicExp 15.8 → 4
Over/Under 14.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-11.8)
- Tyler HerroExp 15.5 → 17
Over/Under 14.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+1.5)
- John CollinsExp 15.2 → 12
Over/Under 14.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-3.2)
- Bam AdebayoExp 14.6 → 12
Over/Under 13.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-2.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Kendrick Nunn28 PTS
- Jabari Parker23 PTS
- DeAndre' Bembry18 PTS
- Tyler Herro17 PTS
- Meyers Leonard16 PTS
- Bam Adebayo12 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 7.1
Over/Under 6.5: 57% / 43%
- Justise WinslowExp 5.3
Over/Under 4.5: 61% / 39%
- Bam AdebayoExp 4.5 → 7
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+2.5)
- Goran DragicExp 4.2 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 3.6 → 11
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+7.4)
- Kendrick NunnExp 3.4 → 0
Over/Under 2.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-3.4)
- Kevin HuerterExp 3.2 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-2.2)
- Cam ReddishExp 2.4 → 4
Over/Under 1.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+1.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III11 AST
- DeAndre' Bembry8 AST
- Bam Adebayo7 AST
- Cam Reddish4 AST
- Goran Dragic3 AST
- Tyler Herro3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.4 → 6
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+4.6)
- Justise WinslowExp 1.3
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27%
- Trae YoungExp 1.2
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30%
- Kendrick NunnExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Cam ReddishExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (0)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- DeAndre' BembryExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- De'Andre HunterExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III6 STL
- DeAndre' Bembry2 STL
- Kendrick Nunn2 STL
- Bam Adebayo1 STL
- Cam Reddish1 STL
- Chris Silva1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIA
Record: 3-2
PPG 113.2 · Opp PPG 110.6
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 110.8 · Opp PPG 110.2
Head to head
MIA 2–3 ATL · 5 Meetings
