San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2021-04-09 · FINAL
119 – 121
P(away)
36%
P(home)
64%
λ home / away · confidence
116.0 / 110.5 · 40%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 26.5 → 26
Over/Under 25.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Jamal MurrayExp 22.2
Over/Under 21.5: 55% / 45%
- DeMar DeRozanExp 21.6 → 24
Over/Under 20.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+2.4)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 19.1 → 22
Over/Under 18.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+2.9)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 16.4 → 12
Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-4.4)
- Derrick WhiteExp 16.0 → 25
Over/Under 15.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+9)
- Aaron GordonExp 14.5 → 11
Over/Under 13.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-3.5)
- Will BartonExp 14.4 → 17
Over/Under 13.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic26 PTS
- Derrick White25 PTS
- DeMar DeRozan24 PTS
- Michael Porter Jr.22 PTS
- Monte Morris21 PTS
- Will Barton17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 8.9 → 14
Over/Under 7.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+5.1)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 6.2 → 12
Over/Under 5.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+5.8)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 5.3 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Jamal MurrayExp 5.2
Over/Under 4.5: 60% / 40%
- Aaron GordonExp 3.8 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Will BartonExp 3.7 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Derrick WhiteExp 3.4 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Monte MorrisExp 3.4 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic14 AST
- DeMar DeRozan12 AST
- Jakob Poeltl5 AST
- Will Barton5 AST
- Dejounte Murray4 AST
- Facundo Campazzo4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.5 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+1.5)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.4
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26%
- Will BartonExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Monte MorrisExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Aaron GordonExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.8 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+2.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Dejounte Murray3 STL
- Derrick White3 STL
- DeMar DeRozan1 STL
- Drew Eubanks1 STL
- Facundo Campazzo1 STL
- Jakob Poeltl1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 1-4
PPG 115.8 · Opp PPG 122
DEN
Record: 5-0
PPG 112.8 · Opp PPG 102.6
Head to head
SAS 3–7 DEN · 10 Meetings
