San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2020-02-10 · FINAL
120 – 127
P(away)
34%
P(home)
66%
λ home / away · confidence
116.8 / 111.0 · 44%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 23.4
Over/Under 22.5: 56% / 44%
- Nikola JokicExp 23.4 → 19
Over/Under 22.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-4.4)
- Jamal MurrayExp 19.8 → 26
Over/Under 18.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+6.2)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 17.3 → 33
Over/Under 16.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+15.7)
- Will BartonExp 15.6
Over/Under 14.5: 59% / 41%
- Jerami GrantExp 13.3 → 8
Over/Under 12.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-5.3)
- Jordan McRaeExp 12.0 → 8
Over/Under 11.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-4)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 11.4
Over/Under 10.5: 59% / 41%
Boxscore leaders
- LaMarcus Aldridge33 PTS
- Jamal Murray26 PTS
- Paul Millsap22 PTS
- Nikola Jokic19 PTS
- Monte Morris16 PTS
- Derrick White15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 8.2 → 13
Over/Under 7.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+4.8)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 5.1
Over/Under 4.5: 58% / 42%
- Jamal MurrayExp 4.9 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 28% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Monte MorrisExp 4.5 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Will BartonExp 3.9
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25%
- Dejounte MurrayExp 3.5 → 9
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+5.5)
- Derrick WhiteExp 3.2 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Jordan McRaeExp 2.8 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic13 AST
- Dejounte Murray9 AST
- Jamal Murray6 AST
- LaMarcus Aldridge5 AST
- Bryn Forbes4 AST
- Derrick White4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 1.4 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Gary HarrisExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Will BartonExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38%
- Jerami GrantExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38%
- Jamal MurrayExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Lonnie Walker IV2 STL
- Paul Millsap2 STL
- Bryn Forbes1 STL
- Dejounte Murray1 STL
- Jamal Murray1 STL
- Jordan McRae1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 1-4
PPG 108 · Opp PPG 114.8
DEN
Record: 4-1
PPG 118.4 · Opp PPG 109
Head to head
SAS 4–6 DEN · 10 Meetings
