San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2021-04-07 · FINAL
96 – 106
P(away)
45%
P(home)
55%
λ home / away · confidence
113.8 / 111.8 · 15%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 26.3 → 25
Over/Under 25.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Jamal MurrayExp 22.6
Over/Under 21.5: 58% / 42%
- DeMar DeRozanExp 21.4 → 14
Over/Under 20.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-7.4)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 19.2 → 18
Over/Under 18.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 16.5 → 18
Over/Under 15.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+1.5)
- Derrick WhiteExp 15.9 → 18
Over/Under 14.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Aaron GordonExp 14.8 → 9
Over/Under 13.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-5.8)
- Will BartonExp 13.9 → 14
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic25 PTS
- Dejounte Murray18 PTS
- Derrick White18 PTS
- Michael Porter Jr.18 PTS
- DeMar DeRozan14 PTS
- Will Barton14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 8.8 → 10
Over/Under 7.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 6.5 → 4
Over/Under 5.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 5.3 → 6
Over/Under 4.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Jamal MurrayExp 5.2
Over/Under 4.5: 59% / 41%
- Aaron GordonExp 3.9 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Derrick WhiteExp 3.7 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Monte MorrisExp 3.5 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Will BartonExp 3.5 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic10 AST
- Dejounte Murray6 AST
- Jakob Poeltl5 AST
- Will Barton5 AST
- DeMar DeRozan4 AST
- Monte Morris4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.3
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26%
- Nikola JokicExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Will BartonExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Monte MorrisExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Facundo CampazzoExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- Aaron GordonExp 0.8 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Aaron Gordon2 STL
- DeMar DeRozan2 STL
- Dejounte Murray2 STL
- Jakob Poeltl2 STL
- Keldon Johnson2 STL
- PJ Dozier2 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 1-4
PPG 119.6 · Opp PPG 127.2
DEN
Record: 5-0
PPG 116.8 · Opp PPG 103.8
Head to head
SAS 4–6 DEN · 10 Meetings
