Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2021-01-29 · FINAL
109 – 119
P(away)
51%
P(home)
49%
λ home / away · confidence
112.4 / 112.6 · 2%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 26.3 → 35
Over/Under 25.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+8.7)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 19.2 → 30
Over/Under 18.5: 55% / 46% · Actual Over (+10.8)
- Jamal MurrayExp 18.5 → 20
Over/Under 17.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1.5)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 15.4 → 5
Over/Under 14.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-10.4)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 14.7 → 9
Over/Under 13.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-5.7)
- Patty MillsExp 13.9 → 17
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+3.1)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 13.8 → 19
Over/Under 12.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+5.2)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 13.5 → 26
Over/Under 12.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+12.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic35 PTS
- DeMar DeRozan30 PTS
- Dejounte Murray26 PTS
- Jamal Murray20 PTS
- Keldon Johnson19 PTS
- Patty Mills17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 8.0 → 5
Over/Under 6.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-3)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 6.7 → 10
Over/Under 5.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+3.3)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 5.0 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-2)
- Jamal MurrayExp 4.3 → 7
Over/Under 3.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+2.7)
- Monte MorrisExp 3.4 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Patty MillsExp 2.9 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Will BartonExp 2.8 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 2.1 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- DeMar DeRozan10 AST
- Jamal Murray7 AST
- Nikola Jokic5 AST
- Rudy Gay5 AST
- Dejounte Murray3 AST
- Facundo Campazzo3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Devin VassellExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Will BartonExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Gary HarrisExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Patty Mills3 STL
- Facundo Campazzo2 STL
- Gary Harris2 STL
- Jamal Murray2 STL
- Dejounte Murray1 STL
- Devin Vassell1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 5-0
PPG 119 · Opp PPG 106.8
SAS
Record: 3-2
PPG 114.4 · Opp PPG 110.8
Head to head
DEN 7–3 SAS · 10 Meetings
