Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2020-08-05 · FINAL
132 – 126
P(away)
58%
P(home)
42%
λ home / away · confidence
112.7 / 115.7 · 22%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 21.2 → 18
Over/Under 20.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-3.2)
- Nikola JokicExp 20.2 → 25
Over/Under 19.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+4.8)
- Jamal MurrayExp 19.4
Over/Under 18.5: 56% / 44%
- Will BartonExp 15.7
Over/Under 14.5: 60% / 40%
- Rudy GayExp 14.3 → 24
Over/Under 13.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+9.7)
- Derrick WhiteExp 13.7 → 23
Over/Under 12.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+9.3)
- Paul MillsapExp 13.3 → 7
Over/Under 12.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-6.3)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 13.1 → 4
Over/Under 12.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-9.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Michael Porter Jr.30 PTS
- Nikola Jokic25 PTS
- Rudy Gay24 PTS
- Derrick White23 PTS
- Jerami Grant22 PTS
- Keldon Johnson20 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 7.0 → 11
Over/Under 6.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+4)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 6.7 → 8
Over/Under 5.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Jamal MurrayExp 5.3
Over/Under 4.5: 61% / 39%
- Dejounte MurrayExp 4.7 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Derrick WhiteExp 4.2 → 7
Over/Under 3.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+2.8)
- Monte MorrisExp 3.8 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Will BartonExp 3.6
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29%
- Gary HarrisExp 2.1
Over/Under 1.5: 61% / 39%
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic11 AST
- DeMar DeRozan8 AST
- PJ Dozier8 AST
- Derrick White7 AST
- Mason Plumlee6 AST
- Monte Morris4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Gary HarrisExp 1.4
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25%
- Nikola JokicExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.3 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Will BartonExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37%
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Monte MorrisExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Jamal MurrayExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40%
Boxscore leaders
- Dejounte Murray3 STL
- Derrick White2 STL
- DeMar DeRozan1 STL
- Drew Eubanks1 STL
- Jerami Grant1 STL
- Keldon Johnson1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 2-3
PPG 106.8 · Opp PPG 110
SAS
Record: 3-2
PPG 123 · Opp PPG 119.8
Head to head
DEN 6–4 SAS · 10 Meetings
