Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2019-10-29 · FINAL
97 – 112
P(away)
37%
P(home)
63%
λ home / away · confidence
110.4 / 105.7 · 35%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 28.0 → 5
Over/Under 27.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-23)
- Kendrick NunnExp 19.6 → 17
Over/Under 18.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-2.6)
- Justise WinslowExp 19.0 → 2
Over/Under 18.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-17)
- Goran DragicExp 16.1 → 21
Over/Under 15.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+4.9)
- Bam AdebayoExp 14.6 → 17
Over/Under 13.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+2.4)
- Tyler HerroExp 14.3 → 29
Over/Under 13.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+14.7)
- John CollinsExp 13.6 → 30
Over/Under 12.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+16.4)
- De'Andre HunterExp 10.6 → 4
Over/Under 9.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-6.6)
Boxscore leaders
- John Collins30 PTS
- Tyler Herro29 PTS
- Goran Dragic21 PTS
- Jimmy Butler III21 PTS
- Bam Adebayo17 PTS
- Kendrick Nunn17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 7.8 → 2
Over/Under 6.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-5.8)
- Justise WinslowExp 6.0 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-3)
- Bam AdebayoExp 4.9 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 28% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Goran DragicExp 4.8 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Kendrick NunnExp 3.7 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.7)
- Kevin HuerterExp 2.9 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Tyler HerroExp 2.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 86% / 14% · Actual Over (0)
- Evan TurnerExp 2.0
Over/Under 0.5: 86% / 14%
Boxscore leaders
- Cam Reddish6 AST
- DeAndre' Bembry5 AST
- John Collins4 AST
- Bam Adebayo3 AST
- Goran Dragic3 AST
- Justise Winslow3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Kendrick NunnExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Justise WinslowExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Trae YoungExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- DeAndre' BembryExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1)
- Cam ReddishExp 0.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Tyler HerroExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Goran DragicExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Cam Reddish3 STL
- Jimmy Butler III3 STL
- Bam Adebayo2 STL
- Chris Silva2 STL
- De'Andre Hunter2 STL
- Jabari Parker2 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 112.8 · Opp PPG 110.8
MIA
Record: 3-2
PPG 115.2 · Opp PPG 111
Head to head
ATL 3–1 MIA · 4 Meetings
