Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2019-03-04 · FINAL
113 – 114
P(away)
38%
P(home)
62%
λ home / away · confidence
115.2 / 110.5 · 34%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 21.5 → 14
Over/Under 20.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-7.5)
- Josh RichardsonExp 18.1 → 19
Over/Under 17.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- John CollinsExp 17.9
Over/Under 16.5: 62% / 38%
- Dwyane WadeExp 16.2 → 23
Over/Under 15.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+6.8)
- Justise WinslowExp 14.6 → 18
Over/Under 13.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+3.4)
- Kelly OlynykExp 14.4 → 12
Over/Under 13.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-2.4)
- Goran DragicExp 14.1
Over/Under 13.5: 55% / 45%
- Kent BazemoreExp 13.0 → 18
Over/Under 11.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+5)
Boxscore leaders
- Dwyane Wade23 PTS
- Vince Carter21 PTS
- Josh Richardson19 PTS
- Justise Winslow18 PTS
- Kent Bazemore18 PTS
- Dewayne Dedmon14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 8.3 → 8
Over/Under 7.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Josh RichardsonExp 5.0 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (0)
- Justise WinslowExp 4.8 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Dwyane WadeExp 4.4 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Goran DragicExp 4.2
Over/Under 3.5: 60% / 40%
- Dion WaitersExp 3.8 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Kelly OlynykExp 2.7 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Bam AdebayoExp 2.5 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+0.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young8 AST
- Dwyane Wade5 AST
- Josh Richardson5 AST
- Jaylen Adams4 AST
- Bam Adebayo3 AST
- DeAndre' Bembry3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Justise WinslowExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Dwyane WadeExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Trae YoungExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (0)
- James JohnsonExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37%
- Kent BazemoreExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Josh RichardsonExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- DeAndre' BembryExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Kelly OlynykExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Dewayne Dedmon3 STL
- Dion Waiters3 STL
- Justise Winslow3 STL
- Derrick Jones Jr.2 STL
- BJ Johnson1 STL
- DeAndre' Bembry1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 3-2
PPG 129.2 · Opp PPG 128
MIA
Record: 2-3
PPG 115.6 · Opp PPG 115.4
Head to head
ATL 3–0 MIA · 3 Meetings
