Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
2019-01-06 · FINAL
82 – 106
P(away)
50%
P(home)
50%
λ home / away · confidence
108.8 / 108.5 · 1%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Josh RichardsonExp 18.6 → 11
Over/Under 17.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-7.6)
- John CollinsExp 17.0 → 13
Over/Under 15.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-4)
- Goran DragicExp 16.3
Over/Under 15.5: 56% / 44%
- Trae YoungExp 15.4 → 19
Over/Under 14.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+3.6)
- Kent BazemoreExp 15.3
Over/Under 14.5: 57% / 43%
- Dwyane WadeExp 14.7 → 11
Over/Under 13.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-3.7)
- Justise WinslowExp 14.4 → 13
Over/Under 13.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Taurean PrinceExp 14.0
Over/Under 13.5: 54% / 46%
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young19 PTS
- DeAndre' Bembry17 PTS
- Jeremy Lin15 PTS
- Derrick Jones Jr.14 PTS
- John Collins13 PTS
- Justise Winslow13 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 7.2 → 2
Over/Under 6.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-5.2)
- Goran DragicExp 5.1
Over/Under 4.5: 58% / 42%
- Justise WinslowExp 4.5 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- Josh RichardsonExp 4.4 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Dwyane WadeExp 4.2 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Jeremy LinExp 3.4 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Kent BazemoreExp 3.4
Over/Under 2.5: 65% / 35%
- Tyler JohnsonExp 2.8 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (-0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Kevin Huerter7 AST
- Daniel Hamilton6 AST
- Jeremy Lin5 AST
- Rodney McGruder5 AST
- Josh Richardson4 AST
- Dwyane Wade3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Kent BazemoreExp 1.3
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28%
- Justise WinslowExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Josh RichardsonExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- DeAndre' BembryExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Trae YoungExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (0)
- Tyler JohnsonExp 1.0 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+2)
- Goran DragicExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39%
- Dwyane WadeExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Derrick Jones Jr.3 STL
- Tyler Johnson3 STL
- Bam Adebayo2 STL
- Kevin Huerter2 STL
- Alex Len1 STL
- Dwyane Wade1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIA
Record: 3-2
PPG 111.6 · Opp PPG 102.8
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 110.4 · Opp PPG 120.4
Head to head
MIA 0–2 ATL · 2 Meetings
