Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics
2025-04-29 · FINAL
89 – 120
P(away)
38%
P(home)
62%
λ home / away · confidence
106.2 / 101.0 · 34%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Paolo BancheroExp 26.2 → 19
Over/Under 25.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-7.2)
- Jayson TatumExp 25.9 → 35
Over/Under 24.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+9.1)
- Franz WagnerExp 24.1 → 25
Over/Under 23.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Jaylen BrownExp 20.2 → 23
Over/Under 19.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+2.8)
- Kristaps PorzingisExp 17.0 → 9
Over/Under 16.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-8)
- Derrick WhiteExp 16.4 → 5
Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-11.4)
- Jalen SuggsExp 15.0
Over/Under 14.5: 54% / 46%
- Payton PritchardExp 12.7 → 10
Over/Under 11.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-2.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Jayson Tatum35 PTS
- Franz Wagner25 PTS
- Jaylen Brown23 PTS
- Paolo Banchero19 PTS
- Wendell Carter Jr.12 PTS
- Payton Pritchard10 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Jayson TatumExp 5.3 → 10
Over/Under 4.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+4.7)
- Derrick WhiteExp 4.8 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Franz WagnerExp 4.8 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Paolo BancheroExp 4.7 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Jaylen BrownExp 3.9 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Jrue HolidayExp 3.7
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29%
- Jalen SuggsExp 3.5
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31%
- Payton PritchardExp 3.3 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-2.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Jayson Tatum10 AST
- Paolo Banchero6 AST
- Derrick White5 AST
- Al Horford4 AST
- Franz Wagner4 AST
- Cory Joseph3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Franz WagnerExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jayson TatumExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jalen SuggsExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35%
- Anthony BlackExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Paolo BancheroExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1)
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (0)
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Jrue HolidayExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40%
Boxscore leaders
- Cory Joseph2 STL
- Wendell Carter Jr.2 STL
- Al Horford1 STL
- Anthony Black1 STL
- Derrick White1 STL
- Franz Wagner1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ORL
Record: 1-4
PPG 96.8 · Opp PPG 105.8
BOS
Record: 4-1
PPG 101 · Opp PPG 93
Head to head
ORL 4–6 BOS · 10 Meetings
