Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics
2025-04-20 · FINAL
86 – 103
P(away)
32%
P(home)
68%
λ home / away · confidence
111.0 / 103.7 · 50%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Paolo BancheroExp 26.1 → 36
Over/Under 25.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+9.9)
- Jayson TatumExp 25.6 → 17
Over/Under 24.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-8.6)
- Franz WagnerExp 23.8 → 23
Over/Under 22.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Jaylen BrownExp 19.1 → 16
Over/Under 18.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-3.1)
- Kristaps PorzingisExp 18.1 → 5
Over/Under 17.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-13.1)
- Derrick WhiteExp 15.7 → 30
Over/Under 14.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+14.3)
- Jalen SuggsExp 15.1
Over/Under 14.5: 54% / 46%
- Payton PritchardExp 15.0 → 19
Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+4)
Boxscore leaders
- Paolo Banchero36 PTS
- Derrick White30 PTS
- Franz Wagner23 PTS
- Payton Pritchard19 PTS
- Jayson Tatum17 PTS
- Jaylen Brown16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Jayson TatumExp 6.3 → 4
Over/Under 5.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-2.3)
- Derrick WhiteExp 5.8 → 2
Over/Under 4.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-3.8)
- Paolo BancheroExp 4.8 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Franz WagnerExp 4.7 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Jaylen BrownExp 3.9 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Payton PritchardExp 3.8 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Jrue HolidayExp 3.8 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- Jalen SuggsExp 3.5
Over/Under 2.5: 67% / 33%
Boxscore leaders
- Franz Wagner5 AST
- Jrue Holiday5 AST
- Jayson Tatum4 AST
- Paolo Banchero4 AST
- Al Horford3 AST
- Cole Anthony3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Anthony BlackExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Jalen SuggsExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32%
- Jayson TatumExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (0)
- Jrue HolidayExp 1.0 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+2)
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Franz WagnerExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Jaylen BrownExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Paolo BancheroExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Kristaps Porzingis4 STL
- Jrue Holiday3 STL
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope3 STL
- Jaylen Brown2 STL
- Al Horford1 STL
- Derrick White1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ORL
Record: 4-1
PPG 111.6 · Opp PPG 103.4
BOS
Record: 4-1
PPG 108.4 · Opp PPG 96.6
Head to head
ORL 6–4 BOS · 10 Meetings
