Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics
2025-04-23 · FINAL
100 – 109
P(away)
33%
P(home)
67%
λ home / away · confidence
108.5 / 101.4 · 48%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Paolo BancheroExp 27.1 → 32
Over/Under 26.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+4.9)
- Jayson TatumExp 25.4
Over/Under 24.5: 56% / 44%
- Franz WagnerExp 23.4 → 25
Over/Under 22.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Jaylen BrownExp 18.6 → 36
Over/Under 17.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+17.4)
- Kristaps PorzingisExp 17.4 → 20
Over/Under 16.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2.6)
- Derrick WhiteExp 16.2 → 17
Over/Under 15.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Jalen SuggsExp 15.1
Over/Under 14.5: 54% / 46%
- Payton PritchardExp 14.1 → 14
Over/Under 13.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (-0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Jaylen Brown36 PTS
- Paolo Banchero32 PTS
- Franz Wagner25 PTS
- Kristaps Porzingis20 PTS
- Derrick White17 PTS
- Wendell Carter Jr.16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Jayson TatumExp 6.0
Over/Under 4.5: 71% / 29%
- Derrick WhiteExp 5.1 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Paolo BancheroExp 4.8 → 7
Over/Under 3.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+2.2)
- Franz WagnerExp 4.7 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.7)
- Payton PritchardExp 3.7 → 0
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-3.7)
- Jrue HolidayExp 3.6 → 6
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+2.4)
- Jalen SuggsExp 3.5
Over/Under 2.5: 67% / 33%
- Jaylen BrownExp 3.4 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Paolo Banchero7 AST
- Jrue Holiday6 AST
- Derrick White5 AST
- Jaylen Brown5 AST
- Franz Wagner4 AST
- Cory Joseph3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Anthony BlackExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Jalen SuggsExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32%
- Franz WagnerExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1)
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Jayson TatumExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36%
- Paolo BancheroExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Jrue HolidayExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Cory Joseph2 STL
- Franz Wagner2 STL
- Gary Harris2 STL
- Kristaps Porzingis2 STL
- Derrick White1 STL
- Jaylen Brown1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ORL
Record: 3-2
PPG 107 · Opp PPG 104.6
BOS
Record: 4-1
PPG 104.2 · Opp PPG 95.8
Head to head
ORL 6–4 BOS · 10 Meetings
