Boston Celtics @ Orlando Magic
2025-04-27 · FINAL
107 – 98
P(away)
57%
P(home)
43%
λ home / away · confidence
103.0 / 105.1 · 19%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Paolo BancheroExp 26.5 → 31
Over/Under 25.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+4.5)
- Jayson TatumExp 25.5 → 37
Over/Under 24.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+11.5)
- Franz WagnerExp 24.3 → 24
Over/Under 23.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Jaylen BrownExp 19.3 → 21
Over/Under 18.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Kristaps PorzingisExp 17.9 → 19
Over/Under 16.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Derrick WhiteExp 16.0 → 18
Over/Under 15.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+2)
- Jalen SuggsExp 15.1
Over/Under 14.5: 54% / 46%
- Payton PritchardExp 13.4 → 0
Over/Under 12.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-13.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Jayson Tatum37 PTS
- Paolo Banchero31 PTS
- Franz Wagner24 PTS
- Jaylen Brown21 PTS
- Kristaps Porzingis19 PTS
- Derrick White18 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Jayson TatumExp 5.4 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-2.4)
- Paolo BancheroExp 4.9 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Franz WagnerExp 4.7 → 7
Over/Under 3.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+2.3)
- Derrick WhiteExp 4.6 → 7
Over/Under 3.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+2.4)
- Jrue HolidayExp 3.6
Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30%
- Jalen SuggsExp 3.6
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31%
- Jaylen BrownExp 3.4 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-2.4)
- Payton PritchardExp 3.3 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Derrick White7 AST
- Franz Wagner7 AST
- Cory Joseph6 AST
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope4 AST
- Jayson Tatum3 AST
- Paolo Banchero3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Franz WagnerExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Anthony BlackExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jalen SuggsExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34%
- Jayson TatumExp 1.0 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+2)
- Paolo BancheroExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Jrue HolidayExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40%
Boxscore leaders
- Jayson Tatum3 STL
- Jaylen Brown2 STL
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope2 STL
- Anthony Black1 STL
- Cory Joseph1 STL
- Jonathan Isaac1 STL
Recent form (L5)
BOS
Record: 4-1
PPG 105.6 · Opp PPG 92.2
ORL
Record: 2-3
PPG 103 · Opp PPG 107.4
Head to head
BOS 5–5 ORL · 10 Meetings
