Boston Celtics @ Orlando Magic
2025-04-25 · FINAL
93 – 95
P(away)
59%
P(home)
41%
λ home / away · confidence
102.3 / 105.2 · 25%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Paolo BancheroExp 26.4 → 29
Over/Under 25.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+2.6)
- Jayson TatumExp 25.1 → 36
Over/Under 24.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+10.9)
- Franz WagnerExp 23.6 → 32
Over/Under 22.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+8.4)
- Jaylen BrownExp 19.4 → 19
Over/Under 18.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Kristaps PorzingisExp 17.2 → 7
Over/Under 16.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-10.2)
- Derrick WhiteExp 16.3 → 16
Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Jalen SuggsExp 15.1
Over/Under 14.5: 54% / 46%
- Payton PritchardExp 14.3 → 3
Over/Under 13.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-11.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Jayson Tatum36 PTS
- Franz Wagner32 PTS
- Paolo Banchero29 PTS
- Jaylen Brown19 PTS
- Derrick White16 PTS
- Wendell Carter Jr.10 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Jayson TatumExp 5.7 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Paolo BancheroExp 5.1 → 1
Over/Under 4.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-4.1)
- Derrick WhiteExp 4.7 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Franz WagnerExp 4.5 → 8
Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+3.5)
- Jrue HolidayExp 3.6
Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30%
- Jaylen BrownExp 3.6 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-2.6)
- Jalen SuggsExp 3.5
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32%
- Payton PritchardExp 3.4 → 0
Over/Under 2.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-3.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Franz Wagner8 AST
- Derrick White5 AST
- Jayson Tatum4 AST
- Al Horford3 AST
- Cole Anthony2 AST
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope2 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Anthony BlackExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Jalen SuggsExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33%
- Franz WagnerExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jayson TatumExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Paolo BancheroExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- Jrue HolidayExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40%
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Anthony Black2 STL
- Derrick White2 STL
- Franz Wagner2 STL
- Luke Kornet2 STL
- Paolo Banchero2 STL
- Payton Pritchard2 STL
Recent form (L5)
BOS
Record: 4-1
PPG 102.2 · Opp PPG 92.4
ORL
Record: 2-3
PPG 103.2 · Opp PPG 104
Head to head
BOS 5–5 ORL · 10 Meetings
