Memphis Grizzlies @ Houston Rockets
2026-04-12 · FINAL
101 – 132
P(away)
29%
P(home)
71%
λ home / away · confidence
122.0 / 113.7 · 58%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Dariq WhiteheadExp 16.8 → 26
Over/Under 15.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+9.2)
- Reed SheppardExp 14.6 → 19
Over/Under 13.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+4.4)
- Rayan RupertExp 12.6 → 21
Over/Under 11.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+8.4)
- Lucas WilliamsonExp 12.3 → 15
Over/Under 11.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2.7)
- Toby OkaniExp 12.2 → 6
Over/Under 11.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-6.2)
- Tari EasonExp 12.0 → 20
Over/Under 10.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+8)
- Javon SmallExp 11.3 → 18
Over/Under 10.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+6.7)
- Aaron HolidayExp 9.1 → 7
Over/Under 8.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-2.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Dariq Whitehead26 PTS
- Clint Capela23 PTS
- Rayan Rupert21 PTS
- Tari Eason20 PTS
- Reed Sheppard19 PTS
- Javon Small18 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Javon SmallExp 4.1 → 1
Over/Under 3.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-3.1)
- Jahmai MashackExp 3.2 → 11
Over/Under 2.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+7.8)
- Reed SheppardExp 3.2 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Lucas WilliamsonExp 2.7 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Rayan RupertExp 2.1 → 5
Over/Under 1.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+2.9)
- Dariq WhiteheadExp 1.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 84% / 16% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Aaron HolidayExp 1.7 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 82% / 18% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Toby OkaniExp 1.6 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (-0.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Jahmai Mashack11 AST
- JD Davison7 AST
- Rayan Rupert5 AST
- Lucas Williamson3 AST
- Reed Sheppard3 AST
- Tari Eason3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Reed SheppardExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Rayan RupertExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Lucas WilliamsonExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Jahmai MashackExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1)
- Javon SmallExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- Tari EasonExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Toby OkaniExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Dariq WhiteheadExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Lucas Williamson3 STL
- Aaron Holiday2 STL
- Javon Small2 STL
- Rayan Rupert2 STL
- Clint Capela1 STL
- Dorian Finney-Smith1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MEM
Record: 0-5
PPG 111.4 · Opp PPG 136.8
HOU
Record: 4-1
PPG 124.2 · Opp PPG 113
Head to head
MEM 2–8 HOU · 10 Meetings
