Memphis Grizzlies @ Houston Rockets
2025-01-13 · FINAL
118 – 120
P(away)
35%
P(home)
65%
λ home / away · confidence
117.6 / 111.8 · 43%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Jaren Jackson Jr.Exp 23.7 → 17
Over/Under 22.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-6.7)
- Jalen GreenExp 22.9 → 42
Over/Under 21.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+19.1)
- Alperen SengunExp 22.5 → 17
Over/Under 21.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-5.5)
- Ja MorantExp 21.0 → 29
Over/Under 19.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+8)
- Desmond BaneExp 19.5 → 25
Over/Under 18.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+5.5)
- Fred VanVleetExp 15.9 → 9
Over/Under 14.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-6.9)
- Dillon BrooksExp 14.2 → 9
Over/Under 13.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-5.2)
- Amen ThompsonExp 14.1 → 19
Over/Under 13.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+4.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Jalen Green42 PTS
- Ja Morant29 PTS
- Desmond Bane25 PTS
- Amen Thompson19 PTS
- Alperen Sengun17 PTS
- Jaren Jackson Jr.17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Ja MorantExp 7.2 → 4
Over/Under 6.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-3.2)
- Fred VanVleetExp 6.0 → 9
Over/Under 5.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+3)
- Desmond BaneExp 5.7 → 2
Over/Under 4.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-3.7)
- Alperen SengunExp 5.4 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Scotty Pippen Jr.Exp 3.9 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-2.9)
- Luke KennardExp 3.9 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Marcus SmartExp 3.5
Over/Under 2.5: 67% / 33%
- Jaren Jackson Jr.Exp 3.3 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (-0.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Fred VanVleet9 AST
- Alperen Sengun5 AST
- Amen Thompson4 AST
- Ja Morant4 AST
- Jalen Green4 AST
- Jaren Jackson Jr.3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Fred VanVleetExp 1.6 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 80% / 20% · Actual Over (-0.6)
- Desmond BaneExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Tari EasonExp 1.2
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29%
- Scotty Pippen Jr.Exp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Alperen SengunExp 1.2 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Jaren Jackson Jr.Exp 1.2 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Ja MorantExp 1.1 → 4
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+2.9)
- Amen ThompsonExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1)
Boxscore leaders
- Dillon Brooks4 STL
- Ja Morant4 STL
- Alperen Sengun3 STL
- Jaren Jackson Jr.3 STL
- Amen Thompson2 STL
- Desmond Bane2 STL
Recent form (L5)
MEM
Record: 2-3
PPG 121.4 · Opp PPG 121.4
HOU
Record: 4-1
PPG 113.8 · Opp PPG 110
Head to head
MEM 5–5 HOU · 10 Meetings
