Houston Rockets @ Memphis Grizzlies
2026-03-27 · FINAL
119 – 109
P(away)
68%
P(home)
32%
λ home / away · confidence
113.1 / 120.2 · 51%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Kevin DurantExp 26.3 → 25
Over/Under 25.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Alperen SengunExp 22.7 → 14
Over/Under 21.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-8.7)
- Amen ThompsonExp 19.1 → 18
Over/Under 18.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Reed SheppardExp 16.4 → 15
Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- GG JacksonExp 16.1 → 14
Over/Under 15.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-2.1)
- Jabari Smith Jr.Exp 15.7 → 21
Over/Under 14.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+5.3)
- Cedric CowardExp 13.6 → 10
Over/Under 12.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-3.6)
- Tyler BurtonExp 13.2 → 5
Over/Under 12.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-8.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper31 PTS
- Kevin Durant25 PTS
- Jabari Smith Jr.21 PTS
- Amen Thompson18 PTS
- Tari Eason16 PTS
- Reed Sheppard15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Alperen SengunExp 6.0 → 7
Over/Under 5.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+1)
- Amen ThompsonExp 5.4 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-2.4)
- Walter Clayton Jr.Exp 5.3 → 1
Over/Under 4.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-4.3)
- Kevin DurantExp 4.9 → 10
Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+5.1)
- Cam SpencerExp 4.9 → 10
Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+5.1)
- Javon SmallExp 4.6 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Reed SheppardExp 4.3 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- DeJon JarreauExp 3.8 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Cam Spencer10 AST
- Kevin Durant10 AST
- Alperen Sengun7 AST
- Javon Small5 AST
- Reed Sheppard5 AST
- Jabari Smith Jr.4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Reed SheppardExp 1.4 → 4
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+2.6)
- Javon SmallExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Alperen SengunExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Amen ThompsonExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1)
- Kevin DurantExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (0)
- Cam SpencerExp 1.0 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+2)
- Walter Clayton Jr.Exp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Jabari Smith Jr.Exp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Reed Sheppard4 STL
- Cam Spencer3 STL
- Amen Thompson2 STL
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper2 STL
- Taylor Hendricks2 STL
- Alperen Sengun1 STL
Recent form (L5)
HOU
Record: 2-3
PPG 117.6 · Opp PPG 116.6
MEM
Record: 0-5
PPG 105 · Opp PPG 128.4
Head to head
HOU 8–2 MEM · 10 Meetings
