Memphis Grizzlies @ Houston Rockets
2026-01-26 · FINAL
99 – 108
P(away)
32%
P(home)
68%
λ home / away · confidence
121.2 / 114.5 · 49%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Kevin DurantExp 27.1 → 33
Over/Under 26.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+5.9)
- Alperen SengunExp 21.0 → 33
Over/Under 20.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+12)
- Jaren Jackson Jr.Exp 20.3 → 17
Over/Under 19.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-3.3)
- Amen ThompsonExp 18.8 → 8
Over/Under 17.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-10.8)
- Jabari Smith Jr.Exp 16.8 → 8
Over/Under 15.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-8.8)
- Reed SheppardExp 15.9 → 4
Over/Under 14.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-11.9)
- Cedric CowardExp 14.9 → 8
Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-6.9)
- Jaylen WellsExp 14.8 → 12
Over/Under 13.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-2.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Alperen Sengun33 PTS
- Kevin Durant33 PTS
- Jaren Jackson Jr.17 PTS
- Santi Aldama17 PTS
- Tari Eason17 PTS
- GG Jackson14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Alperen SengunExp 6.3 → 6
Over/Under 5.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Cam SpencerExp 5.8 → 13
Over/Under 4.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+7.2)
- Amen ThompsonExp 5.6 → 14
Over/Under 4.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+8.4)
- Kevin DurantExp 5.0 → 2
Over/Under 4.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-3)
- Vince Williams Jr.Exp 3.9 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Santi AldamaExp 3.1 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Reed SheppardExp 3.0 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 80% / 20% · Actual Under (-3)
- Cedric CowardExp 2.9 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Amen Thompson14 AST
- Cam Spencer13 AST
- Alperen Sengun6 AST
- Vince Williams Jr.5 AST
- Cedric Coward2 AST
- Dorian Finney-Smith2 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Alperen SengunExp 1.5 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Amen ThompsonExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Tari EasonExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Kevin DurantExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1)
- Josh OkogieExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Jaren Jackson Jr.Exp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- John KoncharExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Jabari Smith Jr.Exp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Dorian Finney-Smith2 STL
- Jabari Smith Jr.2 STL
- John Konchar2 STL
- Tari Eason2 STL
- Vince Williams Jr.2 STL
- Alperen Sengun1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MEM
Record: 2-3
PPG 117.8 · Opp PPG 116.4
HOU
Record: 4-1
PPG 114.6 · Opp PPG 110.6
Head to head
MEM 3–7 HOU · 10 Meetings
