Houston Rockets @ Memphis Grizzlies
2025-11-05 · FINAL
124 – 109
P(away)
58%
P(home)
42%
λ home / away · confidence
114.8 / 117.8 · 23%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Alperen SengunExp 23.5 → 20
Over/Under 22.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-3.5)
- Kevin DurantExp 23.4 → 11
Over/Under 22.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-12.4)
- Ja MorantExp 21.7 → 17
Over/Under 20.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-4.7)
- Amen ThompsonExp 17.9 → 28
Over/Under 16.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+10.1)
- Jaren Jackson Jr.Exp 17.0 → 9
Over/Under 15.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-8)
- Jabari Smith Jr.Exp 14.7 → 16
Over/Under 13.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Cedric CowardExp 13.7 → 7
Over/Under 12.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-6.7)
- Santi AldamaExp 12.8 → 16
Over/Under 11.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+3.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Amen Thompson28 PTS
- Alperen Sengun20 PTS
- Cam Spencer19 PTS
- Ja Morant17 PTS
- Jabari Smith Jr.16 PTS
- Santi Aldama16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Ja MorantExp 7.5 → 8
Over/Under 6.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Alperen SengunExp 6.8 → 7
Over/Under 5.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Amen ThompsonExp 5.6 → 7
Over/Under 4.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+1.4)
- Javon SmallExp 3.8 → 0
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-3.8)
- Cam SpencerExp 3.8 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeExp 3.7 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Reed SheppardExp 3.6 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-2.6)
- Kevin DurantExp 2.9 → 5
Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (+2.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Ja Morant8 AST
- Alperen Sengun7 AST
- Amen Thompson7 AST
- Kevin Durant5 AST
- Cedric Coward4 AST
- Josh Okogie3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Alperen SengunExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Kevin DurantExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Ja MorantExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jabari Smith Jr.Exp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Amen ThompsonExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Reed SheppardExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Santi AldamaExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Vince Williams Jr.Exp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Amen Thompson2 STL
- Cedric Coward2 STL
- Josh Okogie2 STL
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope2 STL
- Reed Sheppard2 STL
- Santi Aldama2 STL
Recent form (L5)
HOU
Record: 4-1
PPG 125 · Opp PPG 109.6
MEM
Record: 1-4
PPG 110.8 · Opp PPG 118.4
Head to head
HOU 6–4 MEM · 10 Meetings
