Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics
2025-11-23 · FINAL
129 – 138
P(away)
38%
P(home)
62%
λ home / away · confidence
114.5 / 110.3 · 33%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Jaylen BrownExp 27.9 → 35
Over/Under 26.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+7.1)
- Franz WagnerExp 23.4 → 15
Over/Under 22.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-8.4)
- Desmond BaneExp 19.5 → 18
Over/Under 18.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- Payton PritchardExp 17.5 → 19
Over/Under 16.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+1.5)
- Derrick WhiteExp 17.0 → 16
Over/Under 16.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-1)
- Anfernee SimonsExp 14.4 → 23
Over/Under 13.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+8.6)
- Tristan da SilvaExp 12.7 → 9
Over/Under 11.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-3.7)
- Anthony BlackExp 11.9 → 14
Over/Under 10.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+2.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Jaylen Brown35 PTS
- Jett Howard30 PTS
- Anfernee Simons23 PTS
- Payton Pritchard19 PTS
- Desmond Bane18 PTS
- Jase Richardson18 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Derrick WhiteExp 5.5 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Desmond BaneExp 5.1 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Payton PritchardExp 4.8 → 8
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+3.2)
- Jaylen BrownExp 4.6 → 8
Over/Under 3.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+3.4)
- Franz WagnerExp 4.0 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1)
- Anfernee SimonsExp 2.8 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Anthony BlackExp 2.8 → 5
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+2.2)
- Neemias QuetaExp 1.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 84% / 16% · Actual Under (-1.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Jaylen Brown8 AST
- Payton Pritchard8 AST
- Tyus Jones6 AST
- Anthony Black5 AST
- Derrick White5 AST
- Desmond Bane5 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Derrick WhiteExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Anthony BlackExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Jaylen BrownExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (0)
- Desmond BaneExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Franz WagnerExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Jordan WalshExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Tristan da SilvaExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Payton PritchardExp 0.8 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+1.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Derrick White2 STL
- Payton Pritchard2 STL
- Anthony Black1 STL
- Chris Boucher1 STL
- Jamal Cain1 STL
- Jaylen Brown1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ORL
Record: 4-1
PPG 120.2 · Opp PPG 110
BOS
Record: 3-2
PPG 114 · Opp PPG 105.4
Head to head
ORL 4–6 BOS · 10 Meetings
