Boston Celtics @ Orlando Magic
2025-11-09 · FINAL
111 – 107
P(away)
62%
P(home)
38%
λ home / away · confidence
112.8 / 117.8 · 35%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Jaylen BrownExp 26.6 → 27
Over/Under 25.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Paolo BancheroExp 22.3 → 28
Over/Under 21.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+5.7)
- Franz WagnerExp 21.1 → 20
Over/Under 20.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Payton PritchardExp 17.4 → 5
Over/Under 16.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-12.4)
- Derrick WhiteExp 16.9 → 21
Over/Under 15.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+4.1)
- Anfernee SimonsExp 15.3 → 25
Over/Under 14.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+9.7)
- Desmond BaneExp 15.2 → 9
Over/Under 14.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-6.2)
- Jalen SuggsExp 12.6 → 20
Over/Under 11.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+7.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Paolo Banchero28 PTS
- Jaylen Brown27 PTS
- Anfernee Simons25 PTS
- Derrick White21 PTS
- Franz Wagner20 PTS
- Jalen Suggs20 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Payton PritchardExp 5.3 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Derrick WhiteExp 5.2 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Jaylen BrownExp 4.6 → 1
Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-3.6)
- Jalen SuggsExp 4.5 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Paolo BancheroExp 4.4 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Desmond BaneExp 4.0 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2)
- Franz WagnerExp 3.9 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Anthony BlackExp 2.8 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Under (-2.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Desmond Bane6 AST
- Payton Pritchard5 AST
- Derrick White4 AST
- Jalen Suggs4 AST
- Jordan Walsh4 AST
- Paolo Banchero4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Derrick WhiteExp 1.4 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Jalen SuggsExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Franz WagnerExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1)
- Payton PritchardExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1)
- Josh MinottExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Anthony BlackExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Jaylen BrownExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Paolo BancheroExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Derrick White3 STL
- Jalen Suggs3 STL
- Franz Wagner2 STL
- Hugo Gonzalez2 STL
- Jordan Walsh2 STL
- Anthony Black1 STL
Recent form (L5)
BOS
Record: 2-3
PPG 111.8 · Opp PPG 114.2
ORL
Record: 3-2
PPG 119.8 · Opp PPG 114.6
Head to head
BOS 6–4 ORL · 10 Meetings
