Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
2026-04-12 · FINAL
135 – 103
P(away)
37%
P(home)
63%
λ home / away · confidence
115.5 / 110.5 · 37%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Jared McCainExp 13.1 → 9
Over/Under 12.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-4.1)
- Aaron WigginsExp 12.0 → 3
Over/Under 10.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-9)
- Branden CarlsonExp 11.9 → 26
Over/Under 10.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+14.1)
- Kenrich WilliamsExp 11.1 → 13
Over/Under 10.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Luguentz DortExp 9.7 → 6
Over/Under 8.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-3.7)
- Payton SandfortExp 9.6 → 23
Over/Under 8.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+13.4)
- Rasheer FlemingExp 9.4 → 16
Over/Under 8.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+6.6)
- Jamaree BouyeaExp 8.1 → 27
Over/Under 7.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+18.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Jamaree Bouyea27 PTS
- Branden Carlson26 PTS
- Payton Sandfort23 PTS
- Koby Brea20 PTS
- Ryan Dunn20 PTS
- Khaman Maluach18 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola TopicExp 4.2 → 14
Over/Under 3.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+9.8)
- Oso IghodaroExp 2.1 → 5
Over/Under 1.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+2.9)
- Jamaree BouyeaExp 1.8 → 9
Over/Under 0.5: 84% / 16% · Actual Over (+7.2)
- Kenrich WilliamsExp 1.7 → 8
Over/Under 0.5: 82% / 18% · Actual Over (+6.3)
- Haywood HighsmithExp 1.6 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 80% / 20% · Actual Under (-1.6)
- Jared McCainExp 1.6 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Aaron WigginsExp 1.5 → 5
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+3.5)
- Luguentz DortExp 1.5 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (-0.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Topic14 AST
- Jamaree Bouyea9 AST
- Kenrich Williams8 AST
- Aaron Wiggins5 AST
- Oso Ighodaro5 AST
- Ryan Dunn5 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Luguentz DortExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Ryan DunnExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 51% / 49% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Nikola TopicExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 48% / 52% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Aaron WigginsExp 0.6 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 47% / 53% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Kenrich WilliamsExp 0.6 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 47% / 53% · Actual Under (-0.6)
- Oso IghodaroExp 0.6 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 46% / 54% · Actual Under (-0.6)
- Haywood HighsmithExp 0.6 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 43% / 57% · Actual Under (-0.6)
- Jamaree BouyeaExp 0.5 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 42% / 58% · Actual Over (+0.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Branden Carlson2 STL
- Brooks Barnhizer2 STL
- Luguentz Dort2 STL
- Rasheer Fleming2 STL
- Aaron Wiggins1 STL
- CJ Huntley1 STL
Recent form (L5)
PHX
Record: 2-3
PPG 103.4 · Opp PPG 112.8
OKC
Record: 4-1
PPG 128.6 · Opp PPG 106.2
Head to head
PHX 2–8 OKC · 10 Meetings
