Oklahoma City Thunder @ Phoenix Suns
2026-01-04 · FINAL
105 – 108
P(away)
51%
P(home)
49%
λ home / away · confidence
112.1 / 112.7 · 4%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderExp 29.1 → 25
Over/Under 28.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-4.1)
- Devin BookerExp 25.9 → 24
Over/Under 24.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Dillon BrooksExp 20.9 → 22
Over/Under 19.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Jalen WilliamsExp 17.3 → 23
Over/Under 16.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+5.7)
- Chet HolmgrenExp 17.3 → 18
Over/Under 16.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Collin GillespieExp 16.4 → 8
Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-8.4)
- Ajay MitchellExp 13.4 → 13
Over/Under 12.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Jordan GoodwinExp 12.0 → 26
Over/Under 11.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+14)
Boxscore leaders
- Jordan Goodwin26 PTS
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander25 PTS
- Devin Booker24 PTS
- Jalen Williams23 PTS
- Dillon Brooks22 PTS
- Chet Holmgren18 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Devin BookerExp 6.4 → 9
Over/Under 5.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+2.6)
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderExp 6.2 → 6
Over/Under 5.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Jalen WilliamsExp 5.5 → 7
Over/Under 4.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+1.5)
- Collin GillespieExp 5.5 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Ajay MitchellExp 3.5 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Royce O'NealeExp 3.2 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Jordan GoodwinExp 2.5 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Cason WallaceExp 2.3 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-2.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Devin Booker9 AST
- Jalen Williams7 AST
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander6 AST
- Ajay Mitchell3 AST
- Alex Caruso3 AST
- Collin Gillespie3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderExp 1.4 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Collin GillespieExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Jalen WilliamsExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Devin BookerExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Cason WallaceExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Jordan GoodwinExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Royce O'NealeExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Ajay MitchellExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Chet Holmgren1 STL
- Collin Gillespie1 STL
- Luguentz Dort1 STL
- Mark Williams1 STL
Recent form (L5)
OKC
Record: 4-1
PPG 125.2 · Opp PPG 107.8
PHX
Record: 4-1
PPG 122.4 · Opp PPG 110.8
Head to head
OKC 8–2 PHX · 10 Meetings
