Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
2025-11-28 · FINAL
119 – 123
P(away)
27%
P(home)
73%
λ home / away · confidence
116.9 / 107.3 · 64%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderExp 29.3 → 37
Over/Under 28.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+7.7)
- Devin BookerExp 26.4 → 21
Over/Under 25.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-5.4)
- Dillon BrooksExp 19.0 → 19
Over/Under 17.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Chet HolmgrenExp 16.4 → 23
Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+6.6)
- Ajay MitchellExp 15.4 → 0
Over/Under 14.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-15.4)
- Collin GillespieExp 13.6 → 24
Over/Under 12.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+10.4)
- Isaiah JoeExp 13.0 → 10
Over/Under 11.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-3)
- Mark WilliamsExp 12.5 → 13
Over/Under 11.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander37 PTS
- Collin Gillespie24 PTS
- Chet Holmgren23 PTS
- Devin Booker21 PTS
- Dillon Brooks19 PTS
- Cason Wallace14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Devin BookerExp 7.0 → 6
Over/Under 5.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-1)
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderExp 6.8 → 8
Over/Under 5.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- Collin GillespieExp 5.4 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Ajay MitchellExp 3.8 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-2.8)
- Alex CarusoExp 2.6 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Jaylin WilliamsExp 2.6 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-2.6)
- Jordan GoodwinExp 2.5 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Royce O'NealeExp 2.4 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Jalen Williams8 AST
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander8 AST
- Devin Booker6 AST
- Collin Gillespie4 AST
- Oso Ighodaro4 AST
- Alex Caruso3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderExp 1.5 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Ajay MitchellExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Devin BookerExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Cason WallaceExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jordan GoodwinExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Collin GillespieExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Dillon BrooksExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Mark WilliamsExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Luguentz Dort3 STL
- Alex Caruso2 STL
- Dillon Brooks2 STL
- Jalen Williams2 STL
- Cason Wallace1 STL
- Collin Gillespie1 STL
Recent form (L5)
PHX
Record: 4-1
PPG 111.2 · Opp PPG 107.8
OKC
Record: 5-0
PPG 123.6 · Opp PPG 104
Head to head
PHX 3–7 OKC · 10 Meetings
