Oklahoma City Thunder @ Phoenix Suns
2025-04-09 · FINAL
125 – 112
P(away)
73%
P(home)
27%
λ home / away · confidence
113.3 / 121.9 · 65%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderExp 30.5
Over/Under 29.5: 56% / 44%
- Devin BookerExp 26.5 → 20
Over/Under 25.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-6.5)
- Kevin DurantExp 26.3
Over/Under 25.5: 55% / 45%
- Jalen WilliamsExp 22.0 → 33
Over/Under 21.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+11)
- Chet HolmgrenExp 15.0 → 22
Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+7)
- Bradley BealExp 14.7 → 25
Over/Under 13.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+10.3)
- Isaiah HartensteinExp 11.0
Over/Under 10.5: 54% / 46%
- Grayson AllenExp 10.8 → 4
Over/Under 9.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-6.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Jalen Williams33 PTS
- Bradley Beal25 PTS
- Chet Holmgren22 PTS
- Devin Booker20 PTS
- Alex Caruso19 PTS
- Aaron Wiggins17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Devin BookerExp 7.2 → 14
Over/Under 6.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+6.8)
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderExp 6.8
Over/Under 5.5: 68% / 32%
- Jalen WilliamsExp 5.6 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.6)
- Kevin DurantExp 4.3
Over/Under 3.5: 61% / 39%
- Tyus JonesExp 3.7 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Bradley BealExp 3.5 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Collin GillespieExp 3.5 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Isaiah HartensteinExp 3.4
Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34%
Boxscore leaders
- Devin Booker14 AST
- Jalen Williams5 AST
- Bradley Beal4 AST
- Chet Holmgren4 AST
- Collin Gillespie4 AST
- Kenrich Williams4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderExp 1.6
Over/Under 0.5: 79% / 21%
- Cason WallaceExp 1.2
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29%
- Jalen WilliamsExp 1.2 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Bradley BealExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Collin GillespieExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- Kevin DurantExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40%
- Luguentz DortExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41%
- Devin BookerExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Alex Caruso5 STL
- Jalen Williams3 STL
- Collin Gillespie2 STL
- Grayson Allen2 STL
- Ryan Dunn2 STL
- Aaron Wiggins1 STL
Recent form (L5)
OKC
Record: 3-2
PPG 122 · Opp PPG 118.2
PHX
Record: 0-5
PPG 105.6 · Opp PPG 129.8
Head to head
OKC 7–3 PHX · 10 Meetings
