New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves
2021-05-01 · FINAL
140 – 136
P(away)
59%
P(home)
41%
λ home / away · confidence
119.3 / 122.8 · 25%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Zion WilliamsonExp 26.6 → 37
Over/Under 25.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+10.4)
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 25.6 → 28
Over/Under 24.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+2.4)
- Brandon IngramExp 25.2 → 14
Over/Under 24.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-11.2)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 20.0 → 29
Over/Under 18.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+9)
- Malik BeasleyExp 18.4
Over/Under 17.5: 57% / 43%
- D'Angelo RussellExp 18.3 → 17
Over/Under 17.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Nickeil Alexander-WalkerExp 15.1
Over/Under 14.5: 55% / 45%
- Lonzo BallExp 14.9 → 33
Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+18.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Zion Williamson37 PTS
- Lonzo Ball33 PTS
- Anthony Edwards29 PTS
- Karl-Anthony Towns28 PTS
- D'Angelo Russell17 PTS
- Naz Reid17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Lonzo BallExp 6.4 → 8
Over/Under 5.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- D'Angelo RussellExp 6.1 → 11
Over/Under 5.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+4.9)
- Brandon IngramExp 5.3 → 6
Over/Under 4.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Ricky RubioExp 5.2 → 7
Over/Under 4.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 5.0 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-2)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 4.0 → 8
Over/Under 2.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+4)
- Naji MarshallExp 3.4 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Eric BledsoeExp 3.3 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.3)
Boxscore leaders
- D'Angelo Russell11 AST
- Lonzo Ball8 AST
- Zion Williamson8 AST
- Ricky Rubio7 AST
- Anthony Edwards6 AST
- Brandon Ingram6 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Lonzo BallExp 1.6 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (+1.4)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 1.3 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Ricky RubioExp 1.3 → 6
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+4.7)
- Eric BledsoeExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- D'Angelo RussellExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Nickeil Alexander-WalkerExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39%
- Naji MarshallExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Ricky Rubio6 STL
- Karl-Anthony Towns3 STL
- Lonzo Ball3 STL
- D'Angelo Russell2 STL
- Jaden McDaniels2 STL
- Brandon Ingram1 STL
Recent form (L5)
NOP
Record: 3-2
PPG 116.8 · Opp PPG 104.4
MIN
Record: 4-1
PPG 114.2 · Opp PPG 109.8
Head to head
NOP 4–5 MIN · 9 Meetings
