New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves
2020-03-08 · FINAL
120 – 107
P(away)
65%
P(home)
35%
λ home / away · confidence
116.4 / 122.3 · 41%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 26.3
Over/Under 25.5: 55% / 45%
- Brandon IngramExp 25.5 → 15
Over/Under 24.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-10.5)
- D'Angelo RussellExp 24.6 → 19
Over/Under 23.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-5.6)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 23.7 → 23
Over/Under 22.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.7)
- Jrue HolidayExp 19.5 → 37
Over/Under 18.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+17.5)
- Malik BeasleyExp 16.4 → 21
Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+4.6)
- Lonzo BallExp 14.5 → 18
Over/Under 13.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+3.5)
- Naz ReidExp 13.6 → 10
Over/Under 12.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-3.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Jrue Holiday37 PTS
- Zion Williamson23 PTS
- Malik Beasley21 PTS
- D'Angelo Russell19 PTS
- Lonzo Ball18 PTS
- Brandon Ingram15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Jrue HolidayExp 8.1 → 8
Over/Under 7.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Lonzo BallExp 7.7 → 8
Over/Under 6.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- D'Angelo RussellExp 7.0 → 5
Over/Under 6.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-2)
- Jordan McLaughlinExp 4.7 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-2.7)
- Brandon IngramExp 4.7 → 7
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+2.3)
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 4.6
Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33%
- James JohnsonExp 3.2 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 2.8 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Under (-1.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Jrue Holiday8 AST
- Lonzo Ball8 AST
- Brandon Ingram7 AST
- D'Angelo Russell5 AST
- James Johnson4 AST
- Josh Okogie4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jrue HolidayExp 1.5 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Lonzo BallExp 1.5 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- D'Angelo RussellExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- James JohnsonExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Brandon IngramExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Jordan McLaughlinExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41%
Boxscore leaders
- Josh Okogie3 STL
- Naz Reid3 STL
- Jarrett Culver2 STL
- Jaylen Nowell2 STL
- Josh Hart2 STL
- Lonzo Ball2 STL
Recent form (L5)
NOP
Record: 2-3
PPG 119.4 · Opp PPG 119.2
MIN
Record: 2-3
PPG 117.6 · Opp PPG 124.2
Head to head
NOP 3–3 MIN · 6 Meetings
