Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans
2021-03-11 · FINAL
135 – 105
P(away)
47%
P(home)
53%
λ home / away · confidence
120.2 / 119.2 · 7%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Zion WilliamsonExp 27.9 → 24
Over/Under 26.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-3.9)
- Brandon IngramExp 24.9 → 13
Over/Under 23.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-11.9)
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 23.4 → 16
Over/Under 22.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-7.4)
- Malik BeasleyExp 20.9
Over/Under 19.5: 61% / 39%
- Anthony EdwardsExp 20.8 → 27
Over/Under 19.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+6.2)
- D'Angelo RussellExp 19.3
Over/Under 18.5: 56% / 44%
- Lonzo BallExp 15.8 → 10
Over/Under 14.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-5.8)
- Eric BledsoeExp 12.9 → 2
Over/Under 11.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-10.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Jaylen Nowell28 PTS
- Anthony Edwards27 PTS
- Zion Williamson24 PTS
- Jaden McDaniels20 PTS
- Karl-Anthony Towns16 PTS
- Naz Reid15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Ricky RubioExp 6.6 → 8
Over/Under 5.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1.4)
- Lonzo BallExp 5.7 → 7
Over/Under 4.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- D'Angelo RussellExp 5.2
Over/Under 4.5: 59% / 41%
- Brandon IngramExp 5.1 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Jordan McLaughlinExp 4.7
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 31%
- Zion WilliamsonExp 4.5 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Eric BledsoeExp 4.2 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-2.2)
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 3.9 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-2.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Ricky Rubio8 AST
- Lonzo Ball7 AST
- Jaylen Nowell6 AST
- Brandon Ingram4 AST
- Jarred Vanderbilt4 AST
- Josh Okogie4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Lonzo BallExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Jordan McLaughlinExp 1.3
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28%
- Eric BledsoeExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Ricky RubioExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Brandon IngramExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Malik BeasleyExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41%
Boxscore leaders
- Anthony Edwards3 STL
- Kira Lewis Jr.3 STL
- Jaden McDaniels2 STL
- Lonzo Ball2 STL
- Naz Reid2 STL
- Ricky Rubio2 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIN
Record: 0-5
PPG 110.2 · Opp PPG 130.6
NOP
Record: 1-4
PPG 117 · Opp PPG 120.2
Head to head
MIN 4–4 NOP · 8 Meetings
