Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans
2020-03-03 · FINAL
139 – 134
P(away)
45%
P(home)
55%
λ home / away · confidence
123.5 / 121.6 · 13%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 26.2
Over/Under 25.5: 54% / 46%
- Brandon IngramExp 24.9 → 24
Over/Under 23.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 24.7 → 25
Over/Under 23.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- D'Angelo RussellExp 24.7 → 23
Over/Under 23.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Jrue HolidayExp 20.0 → 27
Over/Under 18.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+7)
- Malik BeasleyExp 15.9 → 28
Over/Under 14.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+12.1)
- Lonzo BallExp 12.9 → 26
Over/Under 11.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+13.1)
- JJ RedickExp 12.5
Over/Under 11.5: 59% / 41%
Boxscore leaders
- Malik Beasley28 PTS
- Jrue Holiday27 PTS
- Lonzo Ball26 PTS
- Zion Williamson25 PTS
- Brandon Ingram24 PTS
- D'Angelo Russell23 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Jrue HolidayExp 8.3 → 12
Over/Under 7.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+3.7)
- Lonzo BallExp 7.5 → 8
Over/Under 6.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- D'Angelo RussellExp 6.7 → 8
Over/Under 5.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Brandon IngramExp 5.0 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-1)
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 4.5
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35%
- Jordan McLaughlinExp 4.3 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 3.1 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- James JohnsonExp 2.9 → 5
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (+2.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Jrue Holiday12 AST
- D'Angelo Russell8 AST
- Lonzo Ball8 AST
- Jordan McLaughlin6 AST
- James Johnson5 AST
- Josh Hart5 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Lonzo BallExp 1.7 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 81% / 19% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Jrue HolidayExp 1.5 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- D'Angelo RussellExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- James JohnsonExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Jordan McLaughlinExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Brandon IngramExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 1.0 → 4
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+3)
- Josh OkogieExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
Boxscore leaders
- Zion Williamson4 STL
- Juancho Hernangomez3 STL
- Lonzo Ball3 STL
- Naz Reid3 STL
- Brandon Ingram2 STL
- James Johnson2 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIN
Record: 1-4
PPG 116.8 · Opp PPG 128
NOP
Record: 3-2
PPG 116.4 · Opp PPG 112
Head to head
MIN 2–3 NOP · 5 Meetings
