LA Clippers @ Golden State Warriors
2026-03-02 · FINAL
114 – 101
P(away)
36%
P(home)
64%
λ home / away · confidence
115.4 / 110.3 · 39%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Kawhi LeonardExp 26.3 → 23
Over/Under 25.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-3.3)
- Bennedict MathurinExp 18.8 → 17
Over/Under 17.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Darius GarlandExp 18.5 → 12
Over/Under 17.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-6.5)
- De'Anthony MeltonExp 16.4 → 7
Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-9.4)
- Brandin PodziemskiExp 14.2 → 22
Over/Under 13.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+7.8)
- Moses MoodyExp 13.2 → 10
Over/Under 12.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-3.2)
- Gui SantosExp 12.8 → 5
Over/Under 11.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-7.8)
- Derrick Jones Jr.Exp 12.0 → 9
Over/Under 11.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-3)
Boxscore leaders
- Kawhi Leonard23 PTS
- Brandin Podziemski22 PTS
- Nate Williams18 PTS
- Al Horford17 PTS
- Bennedict Mathurin17 PTS
- Kris Dunn16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Darius GarlandExp 7.2 → 2
Over/Under 6.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-5.2)
- Pat SpencerExp 5.3 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Draymond GreenExp 5.1 → 6
Over/Under 4.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Kris DunnExp 5.0 → 7
Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+2)
- Kawhi LeonardExp 4.4 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Brandin PodziemskiExp 4.2 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Gui SantosExp 3.9 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- De'Anthony MeltonExp 3.0 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 80% / 20% · Actual Over (-1)
Boxscore leaders
- Kris Dunn7 AST
- Draymond Green6 AST
- Pat Spencer5 AST
- Kawhi Leonard4 AST
- Al Horford3 AST
- Brandin Podziemski3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Kawhi LeonardExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Gui SantosExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Kris DunnExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- De'Anthony MeltonExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Darius GarlandExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Draymond GreenExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Brook LopezExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- Brandin PodziemskiExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Gui Santos3 STL
- Kawhi Leonard2 STL
- Kris Dunn2 STL
- Yanic Konan Niederhauser2 STL
- Bennedict Mathurin1 STL
- Darius Garland1 STL
Recent form (L5)
LAC
Record: 2-3
PPG 114.2 · Opp PPG 112.2
GSW
Record: 2-3
PPG 116.2 · Opp PPG 118.4
Head to head
LAC 8–2 GSW · 10 Meetings
