Golden State Warriors @ LA Clippers
2026-01-05 · FINAL
102 – 103
P(away)
48%
P(home)
52%
λ home / away · confidence
116.8 / 115.7 · 6%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Kawhi LeonardExp 30.1 → 24
Over/Under 29.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-6.1)
- Stephen CurryExp 27.4 → 27
Over/Under 26.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 17.7 → 24
Over/Under 16.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+6.3)
- Ivica ZubacExp 14.4 → 10
Over/Under 13.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-4.4)
- Brandin PodziemskiExp 13.1 → 6
Over/Under 12.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-7.1)
- John CollinsExp 12.8 → 18
Over/Under 11.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+5.2)
- Brook LopezExp 12.5 → 0
Over/Under 11.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-12.5)
- De'Anthony MeltonExp 12.2 → 5
Over/Under 11.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-7.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Stephen Curry27 PTS
- Jimmy Butler III24 PTS
- Kawhi Leonard24 PTS
- Kobe Sanders20 PTS
- John Collins18 PTS
- Kris Dunn16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 4.9 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-2.9)
- Stephen CurryExp 4.7 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Draymond GreenExp 4.5 → 12
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+7.5)
- Kawhi LeonardExp 4.0 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1)
- Brandin PodziemskiExp 3.3 → 0
Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-3.3)
- Kris DunnExp 2.9 → 6
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (+3.1)
- Ivica ZubacExp 2.4 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- De'Anthony MeltonExp 2.3 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-1.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Draymond Green12 AST
- Kris Dunn6 AST
- Stephen Curry6 AST
- Kawhi Leonard5 AST
- Brook Lopez3 AST
- Ivica Zubac3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Kawhi LeonardExp 1.5 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Kris DunnExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- De'Anthony MeltonExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.0 → 4
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+3)
- Stephen CurryExp 0.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Draymond GreenExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- John CollinsExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- Will RichardExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III4 STL
- Moses Moody3 STL
- Stephen Curry3 STL
- Brandin Podziemski2 STL
- De'Anthony Melton2 STL
- Draymond Green2 STL
Recent form (L5)
GSW
Record: 3-2
PPG 119.2 · Opp PPG 123.6
LAC
Record: 4-1
PPG 119 · Opp PPG 107.8
Head to head
GSW 2–8 LAC · 10 Meetings
