LA Clippers @ Golden State Warriors
2025-10-28 · FINAL
79 – 98
P(away)
57%
P(home)
43%
λ home / away · confidence
117.1 / 119.7 · 20%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Stephen CurryExp 24.8 → 19
Over/Under 23.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-5.8)
- Kawhi LeonardExp 21.6 → 18
Over/Under 20.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-3.6)
- James HardenExp 19.6 → 20
Over/Under 18.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 19.2 → 21
Over/Under 18.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Jonathan KumingaExp 15.6 → 9
Over/Under 14.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-6.6)
- Ivica ZubacExp 14.1 → 14
Over/Under 13.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- John CollinsExp 13.4 → 5
Over/Under 12.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-8.4)
- Brandin PodziemskiExp 12.8 → 12
Over/Under 11.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (-0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III21 PTS
- James Harden20 PTS
- Stephen Curry19 PTS
- Kawhi Leonard18 PTS
- Ivica Zubac14 PTS
- Brandin Podziemski12 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- James HardenExp 10.5 → 1
Over/Under 9.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-9.5)
- Draymond GreenExp 6.8 → 4
Over/Under 5.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-2.8)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.2 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Stephen CurryExp 4.6 → 8
Over/Under 3.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+3.4)
- Jonathan KumingaExp 4.0 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-3)
- Kawhi LeonardExp 4.0 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-3)
- Ivica ZubacExp 3.7 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-2.7)
- Chris PaulExp 3.5 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-1.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Stephen Curry8 AST
- Jimmy Butler III5 AST
- Brandin Podziemski4 AST
- Draymond Green4 AST
- Chris Paul2 AST
- Moses Moody2 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- James HardenExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Stephen CurryExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Nicolas BatumExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Draymond GreenExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Kawhi LeonardExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Kris DunnExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1)
- Chris PaulExp 0.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+2)
Boxscore leaders
- Chris Paul3 STL
- Draymond Green3 STL
- James Harden2 STL
- Stephen Curry2 STL
- Al Horford1 STL
- Brandin Podziemski1 STL
Recent form (L5)
LAC
Record: 3-2
PPG 112.6 · Opp PPG 112.6
GSW
Record: 3-2
PPG 123.2 · Opp PPG 123.6
Head to head
LAC 8–2 GSW · 10 Meetings
