Milwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers
2025-04-03 · FINAL
126 – 113
P(away)
73%
P(home)
27%
λ home / away · confidence
112.0 / 120.6 · 64%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Giannis AntetokounmpoExp 30.1 → 35
Over/Under 29.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+4.9)
- Joel EmbiidExp 24.3
Over/Under 23.5: 55% / 45%
- Damian LillardExp 24.2
Over/Under 23.5: 55% / 45%
- Tyrese MaxeyExp 24.2
Over/Under 23.5: 54% / 46%
- Quentin GrimesExp 18.4 → 24
Over/Under 17.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+5.6)
- Kelly Oubre Jr.Exp 17.1
Over/Under 16.5: 54% / 46%
- Paul GeorgeExp 16.9
Over/Under 15.5: 62% / 38%
- Kyle KuzmaExp 16.4 → 16
Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Giannis Antetokounmpo35 PTS
- Adem Bona28 PTS
- Quentin Grimes24 PTS
- Guerschon Yabusele22 PTS
- Brook Lopez17 PTS
- Kyle Kuzma16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Damian LillardExp 6.7
Over/Under 5.5: 66% / 34%
- Giannis AntetokounmpoExp 6.6 → 20
Over/Under 5.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+13.4)
- Tyrese MaxeyExp 6.1
Over/Under 5.5: 58% / 42%
- Jared ButlerExp 5.7 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Joel EmbiidExp 5.1
Over/Under 4.5: 58% / 42%
- Quentin GrimesExp 4.8 → 10
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+5.2)
- Paul GeorgeExp 4.4
Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36%
- Kevin Porter Jr.Exp 3.6 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Giannis Antetokounmpo20 AST
- Quentin Grimes10 AST
- Jared Butler4 AST
- Lonnie Walker IV4 AST
- Colin Castleton3 AST
- Guerschon Yabusele3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Giannis AntetokounmpoExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Paul GeorgeExp 1.4
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26%
- Taurean PrinceExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Quentin GrimesExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Kelly Oubre Jr.Exp 1.2
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30%
- Damian LillardExp 1.2
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30%
- Tyrese MaxeyExp 1.2
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31%
- Justin EdwardsExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Gary Trent Jr.3 STL
- Adem Bona2 STL
- Giannis Antetokounmpo2 STL
- Justin Edwards2 STL
- Guerschon Yabusele1 STL
- Jared Butler1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIL
Record: 1-4
PPG 117.4 · Opp PPG 123.8
PHI
Record: 0-5
PPG 101.6 · Opp PPG 116.2
Head to head
MIL 8–2 PHI · 10 Meetings
