Philadelphia 76ers @ Milwaukee Bucks
2025-02-09 · FINAL
127 – 135
P(away)
45%
P(home)
55%
λ home / away · confidence
114.9 / 113.1 · 13%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Giannis AntetokounmpoExp 29.7
Over/Under 28.5: 58% / 42%
- Tyrese MaxeyExp 27.8 → 39
Over/Under 26.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+11.2)
- Joel EmbiidExp 26.4 → 27
Over/Under 25.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Damian LillardExp 25.2 → 43
Over/Under 24.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+17.8)
- Paul GeorgeExp 17.7 → 12
Over/Under 16.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-5.7)
- Kyle KuzmaExp 17.0 → 13
Over/Under 15.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-4)
- Kelly Oubre Jr.Exp 15.8 → 10
Over/Under 14.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-5.8)
- Jared McCainExp 14.9
Over/Under 13.5: 62% / 38%
Boxscore leaders
- Damian Lillard43 PTS
- Tyrese Maxey39 PTS
- Joel Embiid27 PTS
- Gary Trent Jr.23 PTS
- Bobby Portis18 PTS
- Guerschon Yabusele18 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Damian LillardExp 7.9 → 8
Over/Under 6.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Tyrese MaxeyExp 6.8 → 5
Over/Under 5.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Giannis AntetokounmpoExp 6.1
Over/Under 5.5: 57% / 43%
- Joel EmbiidExp 5.0 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+1)
- Paul GeorgeExp 4.6 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+1.4)
- Kevin Porter Jr.Exp 3.0
Over/Under 1.5: 80% / 20%
- Jared McCainExp 2.9
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21%
- Kyle LowryExp 2.8 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Under (-1.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Damian Lillard8 AST
- Joel Embiid6 AST
- Paul George6 AST
- Bobby Portis5 AST
- Kyle Kuzma5 AST
- Quentin Grimes5 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Tyrese MaxeyExp 1.6 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (-0.6)
- Kelly Oubre Jr.Exp 1.4 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Paul GeorgeExp 1.3 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Damian LillardExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Justin EdwardsExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Giannis AntetokounmpoExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37%
- Guerschon YabuseleExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Joel EmbiidExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Gary Trent Jr.3 STL
- Kelly Oubre Jr.3 STL
- Paul George3 STL
- Damian Lillard2 STL
- AJ Green1 STL
- Guerschon Yabusele1 STL
Recent form (L5)
PHI
Record: 1-4
PPG 115 · Opp PPG 120.8
MIL
Record: 1-4
PPG 111 · Opp PPG 123.6
Head to head
PHI 2–8 MIL · 10 Meetings
