Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

• Luka DoncicExp 25.5 → 22

  Over/Under 24.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-3.5)

• DeMar DeRozanExp 25.4 → 20

  Over/Under 24.5: 56% / 45% · Actual Under (-5.4)

• Zach LaVineExp 24.5 → 20

  Over/Under 23.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-4.5)

• Kristaps PorzingisExp 21.3

  Over/Under 20.5: 56% / 44%

• Jalen BrunsonExp 16.7 → 17

  Over/Under 15.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.3)

• Nikola VucevicExp 15.9 → 13

  Over/Under 14.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-2.9)

• Tim Hardaway Jr.Exp 15.3 → 9

  Over/Under 14.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-6.3)

• Lonzo BallExp 13.2 → 9

  Over/Under 12.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-4.2)

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

• Luka DoncicExp 9.2 → 14

  Over/Under 8.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+4.8)

• Jalen BrunsonExp 6.5 → 4

  Over/Under 5.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-2.5)

• Lonzo BallExp 5.0 → 5

  Over/Under 4.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (0)

• DeMar DeRozanExp 4.9 → 8

  Over/Under 3.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+3.1)

• Zach LaVineExp 4.5 → 2

  Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-2.5)

• Nikola VucevicExp 3.3 → 2

  Over/Under 2.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1.3)

• Alex CarusoExp 3.2

  Over/Under 2.5: 62% / 38%

• Trey BurkeExp 2.9

  Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22%

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

• Lonzo BallExp 1.5 → 3

  Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+1.5)

• Luka DoncicExp 1.2 → 0

  Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)

• Jalen BrunsonExp 1.1 → 1

  Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.1)

• Alex CarusoExp 1.0

  Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36%

• Nikola VucevicExp 0.9 → 1

  Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)

• Dorian Finney-SmithExp 0.9 → 0

  Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)

• DeMar DeRozanExp 0.9 → 0

  Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-0.9)

• Zach LaVineExp 0.9 → 2

  Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+1.1)